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The impact of Covid-19 on liquidity of emerging market bonds

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  • Gubareva, Mariya

Abstract

We analyze liquidity of the emerging market (EM) bonds during the Covid-19 fueled uncertainty. Using bid/offer spreads we demonstrate that the apogee of both, liquidity and credit stresses is reached in late-March, and that although liquidity has improved since then, it has not yet returned to the pre-Covid levels. In particular, we find that the EM financials are more resilient to liquidity shocks than the EM corporates and sovereigns. Moreover, we observe a decoupling in the dynamics of the liquidity and credit risk metrics, as credit spreads have been tightening very slowly due to the Covid-19-triggered repricing of default risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Gubareva, Mariya, 2021. "The impact of Covid-19 on liquidity of emerging market bonds," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:41:y:2021:i:c:s1544612320316408
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101826
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    7. Yousaf, Imran & Arfaoui, Nadia & Gubareva, Mariya, 2024. "Spillovers and hedging effectiveness between oil and US equity sectors: Evidence from the COVID pre- and post-vaccination phases," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    8. Kwadwo Boateng Prempeh & Joseph Magnus Frimpong & Newman Amaning, 2023. "Determining the return volatility of the Ghana stock exchange before and during the COVID-19 pandemic using the exponential GARCH model," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-20, January.
    9. Bossman, Ahmed & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "EU sectoral stocks amid geopolitical risk, market sentiment, and crude oil implied volatility: An asymmetric analysis of the Russia-Ukraine tensions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    10. Ali, Shoaib & Umar, Muhammad & Gubareva, Mariya & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2024. "Extreme connectedness between NFTs and US equity market: A sectoral analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 299-315.
    11. Hanif, Waqas & Mensi, Walid & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "Impacts of COVID-19 on dynamic return and volatility spillovers between rare earth metals and renewable energy stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    12. Yu, Zhiyang & Yu, Kaibin & Ye, Ying & Wang, Canghong, 2024. "Corporate financialization and the spread of issuing bonds," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    13. Gubareva, Mariya & Sokolova, Tatiana & Umar, Zaghum & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2024. "Sukuk liquidity and creditworthiness during COVID-19," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 88-92.
    14. Iyer, Subramanian Rama & Simkins, Betty J., 2022. "COVID-19 and the Economy: Summary of research and future directions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    15. Nevi Danila, 2023. "The Asymme The Asymmetric Ex Tric Exchange Ra Ange Rate Pass-Through T Ass-Through To Inflation In The Selected Asean Countries," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 26(1), pages 125-144, March.
    16. Pham Tien Dat & Kim Quoc Trung Nguyen, 2023. "Foreign ownership and national governance quality affect liquidity risk – case in Vietnam," Cogent Business & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 2244752-224, December.
    17. Faaza Fakhrunnas & Rindang Nuri Isnaini Nugrohowati & Razali Haron & MB Hendrie Anto, 2023. "The Asymmetric Relationship Between Macroeconomic Determinants And Nonperforming Loans: Evidence From The Banking Industry Of Indonesia," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 26(1), pages 145-174, March.
    18. Ghosh, Bikramaditya & Pham, Linh & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "Energy transition metals and global sentiment: Evidence from extreme quantiles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    19. Candelon, Bertrand & Moura, Rubens, 2023. "Sovereign yield curves and the COVID-19 in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    20. Francisco Jareño & Ana Escribano & Zaghum Umar, 2023. "The impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the connectedness of the BRICS’s term structure," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    21. Hanif, Waqas & Andraz, Jorge Miguel & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Are REITS hedge or safe haven against oil price fall?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1-16.
    22. Ali, Shoaib & Naveed, Muhammad & Hanif, Hasan & Gubareva, Mariya, 2024. "The resilience of Shariah-compliant investments: Probing the static and dynamic connectedness between gold-backed cryptocurrencies and GCC equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    23. Vassilios G. Papavassilioua & Fan Dora Xiab, 2024. "Liquidity in the euro-area sovereign bond market during the “dash for cash” driven by the COVID-19 crisis," Working Papers 202406, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19 pandemic; Liquidity; Emerging markets; Fixed-income; Bid/offer spread; Option-adjusted spread (OAS);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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