IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pal/risman/v23y2021i3d10.1057_s41283-021-00074-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Covid-19 and high-yield emerging market bonds: insights for liquidity risk management

Author

Listed:
  • Mariya Gubareva

    (Instituto Politécnico de Lisboa
    Rua Miguel Lupi)

Abstract

Around the apogee of the pandemic crisis in late March 2020, trading liquidity has evaporated out of high-yield (HY) bond markets across developing states. Concerned about this phenomenon, we assess emerging market (EM) debt liquidity as a combination of three metrics: (i) bid–ask spreads; (ii) relative liquidity score incorporating market depth, trading volumes, and time needed to liquidate an asset; and (iii) round-trip transaction costs—evidencing that all have worsened by the end of the first quarter of 2020. We complement our analysis by tracking the dynamics of the option-adjusted spreads of the EM HY bonds and document that the recovery trends of the credit and liquidity components in bonds spreads have decoupled in the aftermath of the Covid-triggered global meltdown. We evidence relevant differences in bond liquidity between chosen countries, representative of geopolitical regions. All the considered liquidity measures provide a coherent picture of the pandemic impact and allow for insights regarding the recovery from the crisis turmoil and the risk management of the EM HY bond portfolios throughout a systemic crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Mariya Gubareva, 2021. "Covid-19 and high-yield emerging market bonds: insights for liquidity risk management," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(3), pages 193-212, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:risman:v:23:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1057_s41283-021-00074-7
    DOI: 10.1057/s41283-021-00074-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1057/s41283-021-00074-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1057/s41283-021-00074-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alexandros Gabrielsen & Massimiliano Marzo & Paolo Zagaglia, 2011. "Measuring market liquidity: An introductory survey," Papers 1112.6169, arXiv.org.
    2. Michael J. Fleming, 2003. "Measuring treasury market liquidity," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Sep, pages 83-108.
    3. Mahyar Kargar & Benjamin Lester & David Lindsay & Shuo Liu & Pierre-Olivier Weill & Diego Zúñiga, 2021. "Corporate Bond Liquidity during the COVID-19 Crisis [The day coronavirus nearly broke the financial markets]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(11), pages 5352-5401.
    4. Zhang, Dayong & Hu, Min & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    5. Viral V Acharya & Sascha Steffen, 2020. "The Risk of Being a Fallen Angel and the Corporate Dash for Cash in the Midst of COVID," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(3), pages 430-471.
    6. Papadamou, Stephanos & Fassas, Athanasios P. & Kenourgios, Dimitris & Dimitriou, Dimitrios, 2021. "Flight-to-quality between global stock and bond markets in the COVID era," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    7. Viral V Acharya & Sascha Steffen, 0. "The Risk of Being a Fallen Angel and the Corporate Dash for Cash in the Midst of COVID," Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 430-471.
    8. Qing He & Junyi Liu & Sizhu Wang & Jishuang Yu, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on stock markets," Economic and Political Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 275-288, July.
    9. Alessandro Rebucci & Jonathan S. Hartley & Daniel Jiménez, 2022. "An Event Study of COVID-19 Central Bank Quantitative Easing in Advanced and Emerging Economies," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 291-322, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    10. Mariya Gubareva & Maria Rosa Borges, 2016. "Typology for flight-to-quality episodes and downside risk measurement," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(10), pages 835-853, February.
    11. Lorenzo Pandolfi & Tomas Williams, 2020. "Real Effects of Sovereign Debt Inflow Shocks," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 110, pages 511-515, May.
    12. Laura Alfaro & Anusha Chari & Andrew N. Greenland & Peter K. Schott, 2020. "Aggregate and Firm-Level Stock Returns During Pandemics, in Real Time," NBER Working Papers 26950, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gubareva, Mariya & Sokolova, Tatiana & Umar, Zaghum & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2024. "Sukuk liquidity and creditworthiness during COVID-19," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 88-92.
    2. Kaldor, Yair, 2022. "Financialization and Fictitious Capital: The Rise of Financial Securities as a Form of Private Property," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 239-254.
    3. Imdade Chitou & Gilles Dufrénot & Julien Esposito, 2021. "Linking Covid-19 epidemic and emerging market OAS: Evidence using dynamic copulas and Pareto distributions," Working Papers halshs-03297198, HAL.
    4. Umar, Zaghum & Manel, Youssef & Riaz, Yasir & Gubareva, Mariya, 2021. "Return and volatility transmission between emerging markets and US debt throughout the pandemic crisis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    5. Mensi, Walid & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Spillover and connectedness among G7 real estate investment trusts: The effects of investor sentiment and global factors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    6. Yousaf, Imran & Arfaoui, Nadia & Gubareva, Mariya, 2024. "Spillovers and hedging effectiveness between oil and US equity sectors: Evidence from the COVID pre- and post-vaccination phases," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    7. Ali, Shoaib & Naveed, Muhammad & Hanif, Hasan & Gubareva, Mariya, 2024. "The resilience of Shariah-compliant investments: Probing the static and dynamic connectedness between gold-backed cryptocurrencies and GCC equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gubareva, Mariya, 2021. "The impact of Covid-19 on liquidity of emerging market bonds," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    2. Andrieș, Alin Marius & Ongena, Steven & Sprincean, Nicu, 2021. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and Sovereign Bond Risk," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    3. Michal Bernardelli & Zbigniew Korzeb & Pawel Niedziolka, 2021. "The banking sector as the absorber of the COVID-19 crisis’ economic consequences: perception of WSE investors," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 12(2), pages 335-374, June.
    4. Nils Engelhardt & Jens Ekkenga & Peter Posch, 2021. "ESG Ratings and Stock Performance during the COVID-19 Crisis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-15, June.
    5. Rahman, Md Lutfur & Al Mamun, Mohammed Abdullah, 2021. "How resilient are the Asia Pacific financial markets against a global pandemic?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    6. Hasan, Iftekhar & Politsidis, Panagiotis N. & Sharma, Zenu, 2021. "Global syndicated lending during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    7. Arnold, Grace E. & Rhodes, Meredith E., 2021. "Information sensitivity of corporate bonds: Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    8. Duncan, Elizabeth & Horvath, Akos & Iercosan, Diana & Loudis, Bert & Maddrey, Alice & Martinez, Francis & Mooney, Timothy & Ranish, Ben & Wang, Ke & Warusawitharana, Missaka & Wix, Carlo, 2022. "COVID-19 as a stress test: Assessing the bank regulatory framework," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    9. Ding, Wenzhi & Levine, Ross & Lin, Chen & Xie, Wensi, 2021. "Corporate immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 802-830.
    10. Mariya Gubareva & Zaghum Umar, 2023. "Emerging market debt and the COVID‐19 pandemic: A time–frequency analysis of spreads and total returns dynamics," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 112-126, January.
    11. Elżbieta Kacperska & Jakub Kraciuk, 2021. "Changes in the Stock Market of Food Industry Companies during the COVID-19 Pandemic—A Comparative Analysis of Poland and Germany," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-17, November.
    12. Zhou, Wenyu & Zhou, Yujun & Zaremba, Adam & Long, Huaigang, 2024. "Stock market reactions under the shadow of the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from China," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    13. Almaghrabi, Khadija S., 2022. "COVID-19 and the cost of bond debt: The role of corporate diversification," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    14. John Beirne & Nuobu Renzhi & Eric Sugandi & Ulrich Volz, 2021. "COVID‐19, asset markets and capital flows," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 498-538, October.
    15. Beirne, John Beirne & Renzhi, Nuobu & Sugandi, Eric Alexander & Volz, Ulrich, 2020. "Financial Market and Capital Flow Dynamics During the COVID-19 Pandemic," ADBI Working Papers 1158, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    16. Boyarchenko, Nina & Kovner, Anna & Shachar, Or, 2022. "It’s what you say and what you buy: A holistic evaluation of the corporate credit facilities," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(3), pages 695-731.
    17. Massimiliano Affinito & Raffaele Santioni, 2021. "When the panic broke out: COVID-19 and investment funds' portfolio rebalancing around the world," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1342, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    18. Neukirchen, Daniel & Engelhardt, Nils & Krause, Miguel & Posch, Peter N., 2022. "Firm efficiency and stock returns during the COVID-19 crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    19. Neukirchen, Daniel & Engelhardt, Nils & Krause, Miguel & Posch, Peter N., 2023. "The value of (private) investor relations during the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    20. Xiaoling Chu & Chiuling Lu & Desmond Tsang, 2021. "Geographic Scope and Real Estate Firm Performance during the COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-16, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pal:risman:v:23:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1057_s41283-021-00074-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.palgrave.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.