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The causality between liquidity and volatility in the Polish stock market

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  • Będowska-Sójka, Barbara
  • Kliber, Agata

Abstract

We study dependencies between liquidity and volatility in the causality framework for stocks listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. Using Toda-Yamamoto and Granger causality tests we find bidirectional causality between the measures. The causal liquidity-volatility relation is more often observed than volatility-liquidity one, and both relations are frequently asymmetric. The directional spillover index suggests, that the fraction of forecast error variance due to the shock in other measure is much smaller than the response to own shocks. The choice of proxies matters: among different alternatives we find that high-low range is most often Granger cause for volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Kliber, Agata, 2019. "The causality between liquidity and volatility in the Polish stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 110-115.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:30:y:2019:i:c:p:110-115
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.04.008
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    Cited by:

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    4. Vladimir Pyrlik & Pavel Elizarov & Aleksandra Leonova, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using Machine Learning and Mixed-Frequency Data (the Case of the Russian Stock Market)," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp713, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    5. Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Kliber, Agata, 2021. "Information content of liquidity and volatility measures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 563(C).
    6. Zhang, Pengcheng & Kong, Deli & Xu, Kunpeng & Qi, Jiayin, 2024. "Global economic policy uncertainty and the stability of cryptocurrency returns: The role of liquidity volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    7. Kejia Yan & Huqin Yan & Rakesh Gupta, 2022. "Are GARCH and DCC Values of 10 Cryptocurrencies Affected by COVID-19?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-25, March.
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    9. Riccardo Poli & Marco Taboga, 2021. "A composite indicator of sovereign bond market liquidity in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 663, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    10. Szymon Stereńczak, 2020. "State-Dependent Stock Liquidity Premium: The Case of the Warsaw Stock Exchange," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-24, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Volatility; Conditional variance; Realized variance; Illiquidity; Range; Granger causality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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