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Is there a credit risk anomaly in FX markets?

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  • Grobys, Klaus
  • Heinonen, Jari-Pekka

Abstract

This paper explores whether a link between sovereign credit ratings and currency returns exists. Perhaps contrary to expectations, it finds that currencies of countries with higher credit risk tend to generate lower returns than those with a lower credit risk. The credit risk spread cannot be explained by standard risk factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Grobys, Klaus & Heinonen, Jari-Pekka, 2016. "Is there a credit risk anomaly in FX markets?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 1-6.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:18:y:2016:i:c:p:1-6
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2016.03.011
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Grobys, Klaus, 2014. "Momentum in global equity markets in times of troubles: Does the economic state matter?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 100-103.
    7. Lukas Menkhoff & Lucio Sarno & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2012. "Carry Trades and Global Foreign Exchange Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 67(2), pages 681-718, April.
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    10. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan & Titman, Sheridan, 1993. "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(1), pages 65-91, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Palwishah, Rana & Kashif, Muhammad & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh, 2024. "Asymmetric liquidity risk and currency returns before and during COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit risk; FX markets; Currency markets; Carry trade; Anomaly;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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