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Impacts of COVID-19 outbreak, macroeconomic and financial stress factors on price spillovers among green bond

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  • Mensi, Walid
  • Rehman, Mobeen Ur
  • Vo, Xuan Vinh

Abstract

We examine the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and global risk factors on the upside and downside price spillovers of MSCI global, building, financial, industrial, and utility green bonds (GBs). Using copulas, CoVaR, and quantile regression approaches, we show symmetric tail dependence between MSCI global GB and both building and utility GBs. Moreover, the upper tail dependence between MSCI global GB and financial GB intensified during COVID-19. We find asymmetric risk spillovers from MSCI global GB to the remaining GBs. Finally, the COVID-19 spread, the Citi macro risk index, and the financial condition index contribute positively to the quantiles' risk spillovers. The spillover index method shows significant dynamic volatility spillovers from global GB to GB sectors that intensify during the pandemic outbreak, except for financial GB. The causality-in-mean and in-variance from COVID-19, Citi macro risk index, and US financial condition index to the downside and upside spillover effects are sensitive to quantiles

Suggested Citation

  • Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Impacts of COVID-19 outbreak, macroeconomic and financial stress factors on price spillovers among green bond," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:81:y:2022:i:c:s105752192200093x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102125
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    Cited by:

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    2. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Soo-Wah, Low & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Akhter, Tahmina, 2023. "Time and frequency domain connectedness and spillover among categorical and regional financial stress, gold and bitcoin market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    3. Alshammari, Saad & Andriosopoulos, Kostas & Kaabia, Olfa & Mohamed, Kamel Si & Urom, Christian, 2024. "The interplay among corporate bonds, geopolitical risks, equity market, and economic uncertainties," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
    4. Kocaarslan, Baris & Soytas, Ugur, 2023. "The role of major markets in predicting the U.S. municipal green bond market performance: New evidence from machine learning models," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    5. Cheng, Sheng & Deng, MingJie & Liang, Ruibin & Cao, Yan, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility spillover among global oil, gold, and Chinese sectors in the presence of major emergencies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    6. Kocaarslan, Baris, 2023. "Funding liquidity risk and the volatility of U.S. municipal green bonds during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    7. Rongnan Li & Zhuang Liu & Kai Gan, 2024. "Impact of cities’ issuance of green bonds on local firm performance: evidence from China," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 1-30, September.
    8. Abhilash & Sandeep S. Shenoy & Dasharathraj K. Shetty & Lumen Shawn Lobo & Subrahmanya Kumar N., 2023. "Green Bond as an Innovative Financial Instrument in the Indian Financial Market: Insights From Systematic Literature Review Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(2), pages 21582440231, June.
    9. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Nicola Spagnolo, 2024. "US municipal green bonds and financial integration," Chapters, in: Guglielmo M. Caporale (ed.), Handbook of Financial Integration, chapter 8, pages 192-205, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    10. Mensi, Walid & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Spillovers and connectedness between green bond and stock markets in bearish and bullish market scenarios," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    11. Long, Shaobo & Li, Zixuan, 2023. "Dynamic spillover effects of global financial stress: Evidence from the quantile VAR network," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    12. Long, Shaobo & Tian, Hao & Li, Zixuan, 2022. "Dynamic spillovers between uncertainties and green bond markets in the US, Europe, and China: Evidence from the quantile VAR framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    13. Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ko, Hee-Un & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Frequency spillovers between green bonds, global factors and stock market before and during COVID-19 crisis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 558-580.
    14. Kocaarslan, Baris & Mushtaq, Rizwan, 2024. "The impact of liquidity conditions on the time-varying link between U.S. municipal green bonds and major risky markets during the COVID-19 crisis: A machine learning approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    15. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Nautiyal, Neeraj & Zeitun, Rami & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ghardallou, Wafa, 2024. "Unraveling the multiscale comovement of green bonds and structural shocks: An oil-driven analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    16. Nsirimovu, Okwuwada, 2023. "Reflecting on the appetite for borrowing and the volatility of crude prices for rapid post-COVID economic recovery initiatives in Nigeria: Implications for Per capita income using a Dynamic ARDL simul," MPRA Paper 119532, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Dec 2023.
    17. Zhang, Hongwei & Zhang, Yubo & Gao, Wang & Li, Yingli, 2023. "Extreme quantile spillovers and drivers among clean energy, electricity and energy metals markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    18. Aloui, Donia & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Guesmi, Khaled & Vigne, Samuel, 2023. "The European Central Bank and green finance: How would the green quantitative easing affect the investors' behavior during times of crisis?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Green bonds; Global factors; Risk spillovers; COVID-19; CoVaR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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