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Determinants of dependence structures of sovereign credit default swap spreads between G7 and BRICS countries

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  • Yang, Lu
  • Yang, Lei
  • Hamori, Shigeyuki

Abstract

We investigate the time-varying dependence structures between G7 and BRICS countries' sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads for different timescales by combining wavelet analysis and the copula approach. First, by employing wavelet analysis, we find increasing dependence between the G7 and BRICS's CDS spreads with a decreasing significance level as the timescale increases. Second, the CDS spread dependence across most timescales is better described by the time-varying, than the time-invariant, copulas. Third, gold served as a risk-haven asset may play a good indicator to measure the sovereign credit risk, as well as its dependence. Additionally, the CDS spreads for both G7 and BRICS countries behave simultaneously when the economy is prosperous, but not for the economic depression period. Finally, from the regression of the wavelet components, we find no significant results for the short-term wavelets, whereas significant results are present for both the middle- and long-term scales.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Lu & Yang, Lei & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2018. "Determinants of dependence structures of sovereign credit default swap spreads between G7 and BRICS countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 19-34.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:59:y:2018:i:c:p:19-34
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2018.06.001
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign credit default swap; Copula; Wavelet; Dependence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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