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A hidden Markov chain model for the term structure of bond credit risk spreads

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  • Thomas, Lyn C.
  • Allen, David E.
  • Morkel-Kingsbury, Nigel

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  • Thomas, Lyn C. & Allen, David E. & Morkel-Kingsbury, Nigel, 2002. "A hidden Markov chain model for the term structure of bond credit risk spreads," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 311-329.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:11:y:2002:i:3:p:311-329
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Duffee, Gregory R., 1996. "On measuring credit risks of derivative instruments," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 805-833, June.
    2. Jarrow, Robert A. & Turnbull, Stuart M., 2000. "The intersection of market and credit risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(1-2), pages 271-299, January.
    3. Black, Fischer & Cox, John C, 1976. "Valuing Corporate Securities: Some Effects of Bond Indenture Provisions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 31(2), pages 351-367, May.
    4. Merton, Robert C, 1974. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 449-470, May.
    5. Robert A. Jarrow & David Lando & Stuart M. Turnbull, 2008. "A Markov Model for the Term Structure of Credit Risk Spreads," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 18, pages 411-453, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Robert A. Jarrow & Stuart M. Turnbull, 2008. "Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 17, pages 377-409, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    7. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 1995. "A Simple Approach to Valuing Risky Fixed and Floating Rate Debt," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(3), pages 789-819, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Batten, Jonathan & Hogan, Warren, 2002. "A perspective on credit derivatives," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 251-278.
    2. Kaveh Bastani & Elham Asgari & Hamed Namavari, 2018. "Wide and Deep Learning for Peer-to-Peer Lending," Papers 1810.03466, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
    3. Hugh Christensen & Simon Godsill & Richard E Turner, 2020. "Hidden Markov Models Applied To Intraday Momentum Trading With Side Information," Papers 2006.08307, arXiv.org.
    4. David E. Allen & Robert Powell, 2009. "Transitional credit modelling and its relationship to market value at risk: an Australian sectoral perspective," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 49(3), pages 425-444, September.
    5. Liang, Jin & Zhao, Yuejuan & Zhang, Xudan, 2016. "Utility indifference valuation of corporate bond with credit rating migration by structure approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 339-346.
    6. Areski Cousin & Jérôme Lelong & Tom Picard, 2022. "Rating transitions forecasting: a filtering approach," Working Papers hal-03347521, HAL.
    7. Liu, Wei-han, 2018. "Hidden Markov model analysis of extreme behaviors of foreign exchange rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 1007-1019.
    8. Hong-Ming Yin & Jin Liang & Yuan Wu, 2018. "On a New Corporate Bond Pricing Model with Potential Credit Rating Change and Stochastic Interest Rate," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-12, December.
    9. Tak-Kuen Siu & Wai-Ki Ching & Eric Fung & Michael Ng, 2007. "Extracting Information from Spot Interest Rates and Credit Ratings using Double Higher-Order Hidden Markov Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 29(3), pages 425-425, May.
    10. Son-Nan Chen & Pao-Peng Hsu & Chang-Yi Li, 2016. "Pricing credit-risky bonds and spread options modelling credit-spread term structures with two-dimensional Markov-modulated jump-diffusion," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(4), pages 573-592, April.
    11. Areski Cousin & J'er^ome Lelong & Tom Picard, 2021. "Rating transitions forecasting: a filtering approach," Papers 2109.10567, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    12. Areski Cousin & Jérôme Lelong & Tom Picard, 2023. "Rating transitions forecasting: a filtering approach," Post-Print hal-03347521, HAL.
    13. Zhehao Huang & Zhenghui Li & Zhenzhen Wang, 2020. "Utility Indifference Valuation for Defaultable Corporate Bond with Credit Rating Migration," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-26, November.

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