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Long term outlook of primary energy consumption of the Italian thermoelectric sector: Impact of fuel and carbon prices

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  • Bianco, Vincenzo
  • Scarpa, Federico
  • Tagliafico, Luca A.

Abstract

The aim of the present research is to evaluate future primary energy consumption in the Italian thermoelectric sector. Despite its importance in the European context, researches addressing the primary energy consumption in the Italian power sector are not available in the literature. Therefore, to bridge this gap, a detailed representation of the power generation sector is proposed by modeling each individual thermal power station by considering its main features (i.e. maximum power, minimum stable level, efficiency, etc.), in order to estimate the future energy balances and the trend of power prices. An evolution of the generation fleet is designed according to available information from different sources and a simulation based on plant by plant competition is performed up to the year 2022. The impact of different fuel and carbon price scenarios is analyzed in terms of primary energy consumption.

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  • Bianco, Vincenzo & Scarpa, Federico & Tagliafico, Luca A., 2015. "Long term outlook of primary energy consumption of the Italian thermoelectric sector: Impact of fuel and carbon prices," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 153-164.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:87:y:2015:i:c:p:153-164
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2015.04.097
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