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Non-grain fuel ethanol expansion and its effects on food security: A computable general equilibrium analysis for China

Author

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  • Ge, Jianping
  • Lei, Yalin
  • Tokunaga, Suminori

Abstract

Concerning food security, China has launched non-grain fuel ethanol projects with potential land. However, there are concerns and facts, such as feedstock price rise, regarding its implications on quantity of food supply and food price. The study aims to better understand the impacts of expanding non-grain fuel ethanol on food price, supply and consumption using a CGE (computable general equilibrium) model. The investigation is divided into two scenarios, no supply of potential land and supply of potential land. The results show that: an increase in the fuel ethanol production raises food prices under both scenarios; and food supply and consumption can be ensured when there is a supply of potential land. Also, the simulated results predict adequate and quality potential land supply is one of the most important aspects to ensure food security in China. In addition, financial and trade policy implications are proposed.

Suggested Citation

  • Ge, Jianping & Lei, Yalin & Tokunaga, Suminori, 2014. "Non-grain fuel ethanol expansion and its effects on food security: A computable general equilibrium analysis for China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 346-356.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:65:y:2014:i:c:p:346-356
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2013.10.093
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    8. Shuai Zhong & Mitsuru Okiyama & Suminori Tokunaga, 2014. "Impact of Natural Hazards on Agricultural Economy and Food Production in China: Based on a General Equilibrium Analysis," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 7(2), pages 1-45, February.
    9. Zhao, Yuhuan & Shi, Qiaoling & li, Hao & Qian, Zhiling & Zheng, Lu & Wang, Song & He, Yizhang, 2022. "Simulating the economic and environmental effects of integrated policies in energy-carbon-water nexus of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
    10. Hao Li & Yuhuan Zhao & Jiang Lin, 2020. "A review of the energy–carbon–water nexus: Concepts, research focuses, mechanisms, and methodologies," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(1), January.
    11. Araghi, Mansour Khalili & Barkhordari, Sajjad & Hassannia, Razeih, 2023. "Economic impacts of producing bioethanol in Iran: A CGE approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
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