IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v303y2024ics0360544224016785.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Future role of wave power in Seychelles: A structured sensitivity analysis empowered by a novel EnergyPLAN-based optimisation tool

Author

Listed:
  • Keiner, Dominik
  • Gulagi, Ashish
  • Satymov, Rasul
  • Etongo, Daniel
  • Lavidas, George
  • Oyewo, Ayobami S.
  • Khalili, Siavash
  • Breyer, Christian

Abstract

Mitigating climate change requires a variety of energy technologies and energy simulation approaches to evaluate the best possible system structures. Screening whether novel technologies are a viable solution for a particular country within a cost-optimised system setup is usually simulation- and time-intensive. This study introduces the novel add-on optimisation tool EP-ALISON-LUT for use in combination with EnergyPLAN applied to the test case of wave power in the case of Seychelles in 2030 and 2050 within a structured sensitivity analysis. The tool enables a high number of possible system setups and scenarios, including the import and domestic production of electricity-based fuels, to be modelled, allowing for an in-depth view of the system impacts of integrating wave power. The results indicate a limited role for wave power due to its relatively low yield, especially in 2030. However, in 2050, up to 500 MW of wave power capacity is possible with a lower or similar levelised cost of final energy compared to the reference scenario in 2019, which can benefit the diversification of the power generation portfolio. Thus, this novel tool is fast and effective in technology screening studies requiring a fast optimisation algorithm.

Suggested Citation

  • Keiner, Dominik & Gulagi, Ashish & Satymov, Rasul & Etongo, Daniel & Lavidas, George & Oyewo, Ayobami S. & Khalili, Siavash & Breyer, Christian, 2024. "Future role of wave power in Seychelles: A structured sensitivity analysis empowered by a novel EnergyPLAN-based optimisation tool," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:303:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224016785
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.131905
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544224016785
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2024.131905?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tan, Kang Miao & Ramachandaramurthy, Vigna K. & Yong, Jia Ying, 2016. "Integration of electric vehicles in smart grid: A review on vehicle to grid technologies and optimization techniques," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 720-732.
    2. van Alphen, Klaas & van Sark, Wilfried G.J.H.M. & Hekkert, Marko P., 2007. "Renewable energy technologies in the Maldives--determining the potential," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 11(8), pages 1650-1674, October.
    3. Surroop, Dinesh & Raghoo, Pravesh, 2018. "Renewable energy to improve energy situation in African island states," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 176-183.
    4. Satymov, Rasul & Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Dadashi, Mojtaba & Lavidas, George & Breyer, Christian, 2024. "Techno-economic assessment of global and regional wave energy resource potentials and profiles in hourly resolution," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
    5. Selosse, Sandrine & Ricci, Olivia & Garabedian, Sabine & Maïzi, Nadia, 2018. "Exploring sustainable energy future in Reunion Island," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 158-166.
    6. Gozgor, Giray & Paramati, Sudharshan Reddy, 2022. "Does energy diversification cause an economic slowdown? Evidence from a newly constructed energy diversification index," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    7. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    8. Aghahosseini, Arman & Solomon, A.A. & Breyer, Christian & Pregger, Thomas & Simon, Sonja & Strachan, Peter & Jäger-Waldau, Arnulf, 2023. "Energy system transition pathways to meet the global electricity demand for ambitious climate targets and cost competitiveness," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).
    9. Prina, Matteo Giacomo & Groppi, Daniele & Nastasi, Benedetto & Garcia, Davide Astiaso, 2021. "Bottom-up energy system models applied to sustainable islands," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    10. Fernand, Francois & Israel, Alvaro & Skjermo, Jorunn & Wichard, Thomas & Timmermans, Klaas R. & Golberg, Alexander, 2017. "Offshore macroalgae biomass for bioenergy production: Environmental aspects, technological achievements and challenges," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 35-45.
    11. Dominik Keiner & Larissa D.S.N.S. Barbosa & Dmitrii Bogdanov & Arman Aghahosseini & Ashish Gulagi & Solomon Oyewo & Michael Child & Siavash Khalili & Christian Breyer, 2021. "Global-Local Heat Demand Development for the Energy Transition Time Frame Up to 2050," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-51, June.
    12. Barasa, Maulidi & Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Oyewo, Ayobami Solomon & Breyer, Christian, 2018. "A cost optimal resolution for Sub-Saharan Africa powered by 100% renewables in 2030," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 440-457.
    13. Drouineau, Mathilde & Assoumou, Edi & Mazauric, Vincent & Maïzi, Nadia, 2015. "Increasing shares of intermittent sources in Reunion Island: Impacts on the future reliability of power supply," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 120-128.
    14. Satymov, Rasul & Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Breyer, Christian, 2022. "Global-local analysis of cost-optimal onshore wind turbine configurations considering wind classes and hub heights," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    15. Jon Leary & Bridget Menyeh & Vimbai Chapungu & Karin Troncoso, 2021. "eCooking: Challenges and Opportunities from a Consumer Behaviour Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-27, July.
    16. Nihal Ahmed & Adnan Ahmed Sheikh & Farhan Mahboob & Muhammad Sibt e Ali & Elżbieta Jasińska & Michał Jasiński & Zbigniew Leonowicz & Alessandro Burgio, 2022. "Energy Diversification: A Friend or Foe to Economic Growth in Nordic Countries? A Novel Energy Diversification Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-15, July.
    17. Selosse, Sandrine & Garabedian, Sabine & Ricci, Olivia & Maïzi, Nadia, 2018. "The renewable energy revolution of reunion island," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 99-105.
    18. Keiner, Dominik & Gulagi, Ashish & Breyer, Christian, 2023. "Energy demand estimation using a pre-processing macro-economic modelling tool for 21st century transition analyses," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 272(C).
    19. Henning Meschede & Paul Bertheau & Siavash Khalili & Christian Breyer, 2022. "A review of 100% renewable energy scenarios on islands," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(6), November.
    20. Keiner, Dominik & Salcedo-Puerto, Orlando & Immonen, Ekaterina & van Sark, Wilfried G.J.H.M. & Nizam, Yoosuf & Shadiya, Fathmath & Duval, Justine & Delahaye, Timur & Gulagi, Ashish & Breyer, Christian, 2022. "Powering an island energy system by offshore floating technologies towards 100% renewables: A case for the Maldives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    21. Hansen, Kenneth & Breyer, Christian & Lund, Henrik, 2019. "Status and perspectives on 100% renewable energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 471-480.
    22. Anna Flessa & Dimitris Fragkiadakis & Eleftheria Zisarou & Panagiotis Fragkos, 2023. "Decarbonizing the Energy System of Non-Interconnected Islands: The Case of Mayotte," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-26, March.
    23. Prina, Matteo Giacomo & Cozzini, Marco & Garegnani, Giulia & Manzolini, Giampaolo & Moser, David & Filippi Oberegger, Ulrich & Pernetti, Roberta & Vaccaro, Roberto & Sparber, Wolfram, 2018. "Multi-objective optimization algorithm coupled to EnergyPLAN software: The EPLANopt model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 213-221.
    24. Michael Child & Alexander Nordling & Christian Breyer, 2018. "The Impacts of High V2G Participation in a 100% Renewable Åland Energy System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-19, August.
    25. Maïzi, Nadia & Mazauric, Vincent & Assoumou, Edi & Bouckaert, Stéphanie & Krakowski, Vincent & Li, Xiang & Wang, Pengbo, 2018. "Maximizing intermittency in 100% renewable and reliable power systems: A holistic approach applied to Reunion Island in 2030," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C), pages 332-341.
    26. Pedersen, Tim T. & Victoria, Marta & Rasmussen, Morten G. & Andresen, Gorm B., 2021. "Modeling all alternative solutions for highly renewable energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Oyewo, Ayobami Solomon & Solomon, A.A. & Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Aghahosseini, Arman & Mensah, Theophilus Nii Odai & Ram, Manish & Breyer, Christian, 2021. "Just transition towards defossilised energy systems for developing economies: A case study of Ethiopia," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 346-365.
    2. Anna Flessa & Dimitris Fragkiadakis & Eleftheria Zisarou & Panagiotis Fragkos, 2023. "Developing an Integrated Energy–Economy Model Framework for Islands," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-32, January.
    3. Hansen, Kenneth & Breyer, Christian & Lund, Henrik, 2019. "Status and perspectives on 100% renewable energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 471-480.
    4. Caldera, Upeksha & Gulagi, Ashish & Jayasinghe, Nilan & Breyer, Christian, 2023. "Looking island wide to overcome Sri Lankaʼs energy crisis while gaining independence from fossil fuel imports," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    5. Prina, Matteo Giacomo & Groppi, Daniele & Nastasi, Benedetto & Garcia, Davide Astiaso, 2021. "Bottom-up energy system models applied to sustainable islands," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    6. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    7. Satymov, Rasul & Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Dadashi, Mojtaba & Lavidas, George & Breyer, Christian, 2024. "Techno-economic assessment of global and regional wave energy resource potentials and profiles in hourly resolution," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
    8. Galimova, Tansu & Satymov, Rasul & Keiner, Dominik & Breyer, Christian, 2024. "Sustainable energy transition of Greenland and its prospects as a potential Arctic e-fuel and e-chemical export hub for Europe and East Asia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    9. ElSayed, Mai & Aghahosseini, Arman & Breyer, Christian, 2023. "High cost of slow energy transitions for emerging countries: On the case of Egypt's pathway options," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 107-126.
    10. François, Agnès & Roche, Robin & Grondin, Dominique & Benne, Michel, 2023. "Assessment of medium and long term scenarios for the electrical autonomy in island territories: The Reunion Island case study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    11. Henning Meschede & Paul Bertheau & Siavash Khalili & Christian Breyer, 2022. "A review of 100% renewable energy scenarios on islands," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(6), November.
    12. Chang, Miguel & Lund, Henrik & Thellufsen, Jakob Zinck & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2023. "Perspectives on purpose-driven coupling of energy system models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    13. Sabine, Garabedian & Avotra, Narindranjanahary & Olivia, Ricci & Sandrine, Selosse, 2020. "A macroeconomic evaluation of a carbon tax in overseas territories: A CGE model for Reunion Island," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    14. Keiner, Dominik & Salcedo-Puerto, Orlando & Immonen, Ekaterina & van Sark, Wilfried G.J.H.M. & Nizam, Yoosuf & Shadiya, Fathmath & Duval, Justine & Delahaye, Timur & Gulagi, Ashish & Breyer, Christian, 2022. "Powering an island energy system by offshore floating technologies towards 100% renewables: A case for the Maldives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    15. Lopez, Gabriel & Aghahosseini, Arman & Child, Michael & Khalili, Siavash & Fasihi, Mahdi & Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Breyer, Christian, 2022. "Impacts of model structure, framework, and flexibility on perspectives of 100% renewable energy transition decision-making," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    16. Giulia Grazioli & Sophie Chlela & Sandrine Selosse & Nadia Maïzi, 2022. "The Multi-Facets of Increasing the Renewable Energy Integration in Power Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-26, September.
    17. Joseph Akpan & Oludolapo Olanrewaju, 2023. "Towards a Common Methodology and Modelling Tool for 100% Renewable Energy Analysis: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-42, September.
    18. Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Breyer, Christian, 2024. "Role of smart charging of electric vehicles and vehicle-to-grid in integrated renewables-based energy systems on country level," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    19. Alimou, Yacine & Maïzi, Nadia & Bourmaud, Jean-Yves & Li, Marion, 2020. "Assessing the security of electricity supply through multi-scale modeling: The TIMES-ANTARES linking approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    20. Leonard Goke & Jens Weibezahn & Christian von Hirschhausen, 2021. "A collective blueprint, not a crystal ball: How expectations and participation shape long-term energy scenarios," Papers 2112.04821, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:303:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224016785. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.