IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v264y2023ics036054422203016x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A combined NOx emission prediction model based on semi-empirical model and black box models

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Shicheng
  • Ma, Suxia
  • Wang, Fang

Abstract

Coal fired power plants account for a large part of China's NOx emission. A precise prediction of the NOx emission can effectively improve the pollutant control level and operation ability. In this study, a novel combined model based on 1D semi-empirical model and three black box models is proposed to predicted the dynamics of NOx emission of a 350 MW circulating fluidized bed (CFB) boiler. In addition, an improved differential evolution algorithm based on non-negative constraint theory is used to determine the optimal weight coefficient of the combined model. Three different working condition datasets of the CFB boiler are acquired to evaluate the performance of combined model. The results of the experiments and discussions show that the combined model overcomes the limitation of the single model and achieves better prediction results.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Shicheng & Ma, Suxia & Wang, Fang, 2023. "A combined NOx emission prediction model based on semi-empirical model and black box models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:264:y:2023:i:c:s036054422203016x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2022.126130
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S036054422203016X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2022.126130?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wu, Zhuochun & Xiao, Liye, 2019. "A structure with density-weighted active learning-based model selection strategy and meteorological analysis for wind speed vector deterministic and probabilistic forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1178-1194.
    2. Xie, Peiran & Gao, Mingming & Zhang, Hongfu & Niu, Yuguang & Wang, Xiaowen, 2020. "Dynamic modeling for NOx emission sequence prediction of SCR system outlet based on sequence to sequence long short-term memory network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    3. Tuttle, Jacob F. & Blackburn, Landen D. & Andersson, Klas & Powell, Kody M., 2021. "A systematic comparison of machine learning methods for modeling of dynamic processes applied to combustion emission rate modeling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    4. Tang, Zhenhao & Zhang, Zijun, 2019. "The multi-objective optimization of combustion system operations based on deep data-driven models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 37-47.
    5. Tan, Peng & He, Biao & Zhang, Cheng & Rao, Debei & Li, Shengnan & Fang, Qingyan & Chen, Gang, 2019. "Dynamic modeling of NOX emission in a 660 MW coal-fired boiler with long short-term memory," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 429-436.
    6. Tan, Peng & Xia, Ji & Zhang, Cheng & Fang, Qingyan & Chen, Gang, 2016. "Modeling and reduction of NOX emissions for a 700 MW coal-fired boiler with the advanced machine learning method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 672-679.
    7. Shi, Yan & Zhong, Wenqi & Chen, Xi & Yu, A.B. & Li, Jie, 2019. "Combustion optimization of ultra supercritical boiler based on artificial intelligence," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 804-817.
    8. Liu, Hui & Mi, Xiwei & Li, Yanfei & Duan, Zhu & Xu, Yinan, 2019. "Smart wind speed deep learning based multi-step forecasting model using singular spectrum analysis, convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit network and Support Vector Regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 842-854.
    9. Wang, Jianzhou & Heng, Jiani & Xiao, Liye & Wang, Chen, 2017. "Research and application of a combined model based on multi-objective optimization for multi-step ahead wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 591-613.
    10. Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
    11. Xiao, Liye & Wang, Jianzhou & Hou, Ru & Wu, Jie, 2015. "A combined model based on data pre-analysis and weight coefficients optimization for electrical load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 524-549.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Zhi & Peng, Xianyong & Zhou, Huaichun & Cao, Shengxian & Huang, Wenbo & Yan, Weijie & Li, Kuangyu & Fan, Siyuan, 2024. "A dynamic modeling method using channel-selection convolutional neural network: A case study of NOx emission," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    2. Fan, Yuchen & Liu, Xin & Zhang, Chaoqun & Li, Chi & Li, Xinying & Wang, Heyang, 2024. "Dynamic prediction of boiler NOx emission with graph convolutional gated recurrent unit model optimized by genetic algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    3. Lv, You & Lv, Xuguang & Fang, Fang & Yang, Tingting & Romero, Carlos E., 2020. "Adaptive selective catalytic reduction model development using typical operating data in coal-fired power plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    4. Li, Xinli & Wang, Yingnan & Zhu, Yun & Yang, Guotian & Liu, He, 2021. "Temperature prediction of combustion level of ultra-supercritical unit through data mining and modelling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    5. Kailai Ni & Jianzhou Wang & Guangyu Tang & Danxiang Wei, 2019. "Research and Application of a Novel Hybrid Model Based on a Deep Neural Network for Electricity Load Forecasting: A Case Study in Australia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-30, June.
    6. Tuttle, Jacob F. & Blackburn, Landen D. & Andersson, Klas & Powell, Kody M., 2021. "A systematic comparison of machine learning methods for modeling of dynamic processes applied to combustion emission rate modeling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    7. Tang, Zhenhao & Wang, Shikui & Chai, Xiangying & Cao, Shengxian & Ouyang, Tinghui & Li, Yang, 2022. "Auto-encoder-extreme learning machine model for boiler NOx emission concentration prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    8. Yang, Zhongshan & Wang, Jian, 2018. "A combination forecasting approach applied in multistep wind speed forecasting based on a data processing strategy and an optimized artificial intelligence algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 1108-1125.
    9. Zhu, Yukun & Yu, Cong & Fan, Wei & Yu, Haiquan & Jin, Wei & Chen, Shuo & Liu, Xia, 2023. "A novel NOx emission prediction model for multimodal operational utility boilers considering local features and prior knowledge," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    10. Xiao, Liye & Shao, Wei & Yu, Mengxia & Ma, Jing & Jin, Congjun, 2017. "Research and application of a hybrid wavelet neural network model with the improved cuckoo search algorithm for electrical power system forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 203-222.
    11. Song, Jingjing & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan, 2018. "A novel combined model based on advanced optimization algorithm for short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 643-658.
    12. Wang, Yun & Zou, Runmin & Liu, Fang & Zhang, Lingjun & Liu, Qianyi, 2021. "A review of wind speed and wind power forecasting with deep neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    13. Zhang, Lifang & Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Xinsong & Liu, Zhenkun, 2021. "Ensemble wind speed forecasting with multi-objective Archimedes optimization algorithm and sub-model selection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    14. Li, Ruilian & Zeng, Deliang & Li, Tingting & Ti, Baozhong & Hu, Yong, 2023. "Real-time prediction of SO2 emission concentration under wide range of variable loads by convolution-LSTM VE-transformer," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    15. Zhang, Yagang & Zhang, Jinghui & Yu, Leyi & Pan, Zhiya & Feng, Changyou & Sun, Yiqian & Wang, Fei, 2022. "A short-term wind energy hybrid optimal prediction system with denoising and novel error correction technique," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PC).
    16. Jin, Feng & Li, Yongwu & Sun, Shaolong & Li, Hongtao, 2020. "Forecasting air passenger demand with a new hybrid ensemble approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    17. Ping Jiang & Zeng Wang & Kequan Zhang & Wendong Yang, 2017. "An Innovative Hybrid Model Based on Data Pre-Processing and Modified Optimization Algorithm and Its Application in Wind Speed Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-29, July.
    18. Yang, Wendong & Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Tong & Du, Pei, 2019. "A hybrid forecasting system based on a dual decomposition strategy and multi-objective optimization for electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 1205-1225.
    19. Zhang, Kequan & Qu, Zongxi & Dong, Yunxuan & Lu, Haiyan & Leng, Wennan & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Wenyu, 2019. "Research on a combined model based on linear and nonlinear features - A case study of wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 814-830.
    20. Tian, Chengshi & Hao, Yan & Hu, Jianming, 2018. "A novel wind speed forecasting system based on hybrid data preprocessing and multi-objective optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 301-319.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:264:y:2023:i:c:s036054422203016x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.