IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v197y2020ics0360544220302413.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Tracking the sources of rebound effect resulting from the efficiency improvement in petrol, diesel, natural gas and electricity consumption; A CGE analysis for Iran

Author

Listed:
  • Khoshkalam Khosroshahi, Musa
  • Sayadi, Mohammad

Abstract

Rebound Effect (RE) has been resulted in energy saving failing short of expectations from energy efficiency improvement (EEI) policy. Measuring RE resulting from the EEI has attracted the attention of many economists and politicians; however, tracking the factors sourcing RE has been addressed by a few studies. The main purpose of this study is to track and quantify the factors sourcing the RE resulting from 5%, 7%, and 10% EEI shocks at macro and sector levels in Iran. Using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, the economy-wide rebound effect (EWRE) was decomposed at a macro-level for 15 production sectors and final demand separately and the RE of production sectors has been decomposed for substitution and output effects separately. Findings show that the EEI shocks have resulted in positive growth in macroeconomic variables including investment, employment, and GDP. The results from the decomposition of RE at the macro-level show that, first, households are one of the main sectors sourcing RE, second, sectors that are the largest consumers of energy have the greatest RE. Other results indicate a non-linear variation in RE resulting from different EEI shocks and the dominant role of substitution effect on RE of production sectors in the short-term.

Suggested Citation

  • Khoshkalam Khosroshahi, Musa & Sayadi, Mohammad, 2020. "Tracking the sources of rebound effect resulting from the efficiency improvement in petrol, diesel, natural gas and electricity consumption; A CGE analysis for Iran," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:197:y:2020:i:c:s0360544220302413
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2020.117134
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544220302413
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2020.117134?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wang, Zhaohua & Lu, Milin & Wang, Jian-Cai, 2014. "Direct rebound effect on urban residential electricity use: An empirical study in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 124-132.
    2. Filippini, Massimo & Hunt, Lester C., 2012. "US residential energy demand and energy efficiency: A stochastic demand frontier approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1484-1491.
    3. Chen, Zhenni & Du, Huibin & Li, Jianglong & Southworth, Frank & Ma, Shoufeng, 2019. "Achieving low-carbon urban passenger transport in China: Insights from the heterogeneous rebound effect," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1029-1041.
    4. Massimo Filippini & Lester C. Hunt, 2011. "Energy Demand and Energy Efficiency in the OECD Countries: A Stochastic Demand Frontier Approach," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 59-80.
    5. Broberg, Thomas & Berg, Charlotte & Samakovlis, Eva, 2015. "The economy-wide rebound effect from improved energy efficiency in Swedish industries–A general equilibrium analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 26-37.
    6. Karen Turner, 2013. ""Rebound" Effects from Increased Energy Efficiency: A Time to Pause and Reflect," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4).
    7. A. Greening, Lorna & Greene, David L. & Difiglio, Carmen, 2000. "Energy efficiency and consumption -- the rebound effect -- a survey," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 28(6-7), pages 389-401, June.
    8. Hanley, Nick & McGregor, Peter G. & Swales, J. Kim & Turner, Karen, 2009. "Do increases in energy efficiency improve environmental quality and sustainability?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(3), pages 692-709, January.
    9. Lu, Yingying & Liu, Yu & Zhou, Meifang, 2017. "Rebound effect of improved energy efficiency for different energy types: A general equilibrium analysis for China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 248-256.
    10. Thomas, Brinda A. & Azevedo, Inês L., 2013. "Estimating direct and indirect rebound effects for U.S. households with input–output analysis. Part 2: Simulation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 188-198.
    11. Amjadi, Golnaz & Lundgren, Tommy & Persson, Lars, 2018. "The Rebound Effect in Swedish Heavy Industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 140-148.
    12. Jin, Taeyoung & Kim, Jinsoo, 2019. "A new approach for assessing the macroeconomic growth energy rebound effect," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 192-200.
    13. Li, Jianglong & Lin, Boqiang, 2017. "Rebound effect by incorporating endogenous energy efficiency: A comparison between heavy industry and light industry," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 347-357.
    14. Saunders, Harry D., 2013. "Historical evidence for energy efficiency rebound in 30 US sectors and a toolkit for rebound analysts," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(7), pages 1317-1330.
    15. Sorrell, Steve, 2009. "Jevons' Paradox revisited: The evidence for backfire from improved energy efficiency," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1456-1469, April.
    16. Li, Ke & Lin, Boqiang, 2015. "Heterogeneity in rebound effects: Estimated results and impact of China’s fossil-fuel subsidies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 148-160.
    17. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Liu, Zhao & Qin, Chang-Xiong & Tan, Tai-De, 2017. "The direct and indirect CO2 rebound effect for private cars in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 149-161.
    18. Wei, Taoyuan & Liu, Yang, 2017. "Estimation of global rebound effect caused by energy efficiency improvement," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 27-34.
    19. Thomas, Brinda A. & Azevedo, Inês L., 2013. "Estimating direct and indirect rebound effects for U.S. households with input–output analysis Part 1: Theoretical framework," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 199-210.
    20. Ruzzenenti, Franco & Basosi, Riccardo, 2017. "Modelling the rebound effect with network theory: An insight into the European freight transport sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 272-283.
    21. Barkhordar, Zahra A., 2019. "Evaluating the economy-wide effects of energy efficient lighting in the household sector of Iran," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 125-133.
    22. Song, Jianfeng & Guo, Yanan & Wu, Pute & Sun, SHikun, 2018. "The Agricultural Water Rebound Effect in China," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 497-506.
    23. Zhou, Meifang & Liu, Yu & Feng, Shenghao & Liu, Yang & Lu, Yingying, 2018. "Decomposition of rebound effect: An energy-specific, general equilibrium analysis in the context of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 280-298.
    24. Shao, Shuai & Guo, Longfei & Yu, Mingliang & Yang, Lili & Guan, Dabo, 2019. "Does the rebound effect matter in energy import-dependent mega-cities? Evidence from Shanghai (China)," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C), pages 212-228.
    25. Koesler, Simon & Swales, Kim & Turner, Karen, 2016. "International spillover and rebound effects from increased energy efficiency in Germany," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 444-452.
    26. Saunders, Harry, 2013. "Is what we think of as “rebound” really just income effects in disguise?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 308-317.
    27. Allan, Grant & Hanley, Nick & McGregor, Peter & Swales, Kim & Turner, Karen, 2007. "The impact of increased efficiency in the industrial use of energy: A computable general equilibrium analysis for the United Kingdom," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 779-798, July.
    28. Jeroen Bergh, 2011. "Energy Conservation More Effective With Rebound Policy," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 48(1), pages 43-58, January.
    29. Cansino, José M. & Román-Collado, Rocío & Merchán, José, 2019. "Do Spanish energy efficiency actions trigger JEVON’S paradox?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 760-770.
    30. Orea, Luis & Llorca, Manuel & Filippini, Massimo, 2015. "A new approach to measuring the rebound effect associated to energy efficiency improvements: An application to the US residential energy demand," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 599-609.
    31. Yu, Xuewei & Moreno-Cruz, Juan & Crittenden, John C., 2015. "Regional energy rebound effect: The impact of economy-wide and sector level energy efficiency improvement in Georgia, USA," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 250-259.
    32. Liu, Hongxun & Du, Kerui & Li, Jianglong, 2019. "An improved approach to estimate direct rebound effect by incorporating energy efficiency: A revisit of China's industrial energy demand," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 720-730.
    33. Zhang, Jiangshan & Lin Lawell, C.-Y. Cynthia, 2017. "The macroeconomic rebound effect in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 202-212.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Tao & Ma, Ying & Li, Angfei, 2021. "Scenario analysis and assessment of China’s nuclear power policy based on the Paris Agreement: A dynamic CGE model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    2. Lin, Boqiang & Zhu, Runqing, 2022. "How does market-oriented reform influence the rebound effect of China’s mining industry?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 34-44.
    3. Liu, Xianmei & Peng, Rui & Bai, Caiquan & Chi, Yuanying & Liu, Yuxiang, 2023. "Economic cost, energy transition, and pollutant mitigation: The effect of China's different mitigation pathways toward carbon neutrality," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    4. Jia, Zhijie & Lin, Boqiang, 2021. "How to achieve the first step of the carbon-neutrality 2060 target in China: The coal substitution perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    5. Han, Hongyun & Zhou, Zinan, 2024. "The rebound effect of energy consumption and its determinants in China's agricultural production," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    6. Liu, Xin & Wang, Ping & Song, Hang & Zeng, Xiaoying, 2021. "Determinants of net primary productivity: Low-carbon development from the perspective of carbon sequestration," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    7. Rongxin Wu & Boqiang Lin, 2022. "Does Energy Efficiency Realize Energy Conservation in the Iron and Steel Industry? A Perspective of Energy Rebound Effect," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(18), pages 1-20, September.
    8. Dzyuba, Yu. & Bakalova, I., 2023. "CGE models for resource-based economy: A comprehensive bibliometric analysis," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 61(4), pages 12-50.
    9. Xu, Mengmeng & Lin, Boqiang & Wang, Siquan, 2021. "Towards energy conservation by improving energy efficiency? Evidence from China’s metallurgical industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    10. Rodríguez, M. & Teotónio, C. & Roebeling, P. & Fortes, P., 2023. "Targeting energy savings? Better on primary than final energy and less on intensity metrics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    11. Jafari, Mahboubeh & Stern, David I. & Bruns, Stephan B., 2022. "How large is the economy-wide rebound effect in middle income countries? Evidence from Iran," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    12. Meng, Ming & Li, Xinxin, 2022. "Evaluating the direct rebound effect of electricity consumption: An empirical analysis of the provincial level in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
    13. Zhang, Xiaomei & Su, Bin & Yang, Jun & Cong, Jianhui, 2022. "Analysis of Shanxi Province's energy consumption and intensity using input-output framework (2002–2017)," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    14. Wen, Hong-xing & Chen, Zhe & Yang, Qian & Liu, Jin-yi & Nie, Pu-yan, 2022. "Driving forces and mitigating strategies of CO2 emissions in China: A decomposition analysis based on 38 industrial sub-sectors," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    15. Sarasa, Cristina & Turner, Karen, 2021. "Can a combination of efficiency initiatives give us “good” rebound effects?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    16. Souhankar, Amirhossein & Mortezaee, Ahmad & Hafezi, Reza, 2023. "Potentials for energy-saving and efficiency capacities in Iran: An interpretive structural model to prioritize future national policies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PB).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jafari, Mahboubeh & Stern, David I. & Bruns, Stephan B., 2022. "How large is the economy-wide rebound effect in middle income countries? Evidence from Iran," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    2. Zhou, Meifang & Liu, Yu & Feng, Shenghao & Liu, Yang & Lu, Yingying, 2018. "Decomposition of rebound effect: An energy-specific, general equilibrium analysis in the context of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 280-298.
    3. Jin, Taeyoung & Kim, Jinsoo, 2019. "A new approach for assessing the macroeconomic growth energy rebound effect," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 192-200.
    4. Kong, Li & Mu, Xianzhong & Hu, Guangwen & Tu, Chuang, 2023. "Will energy efficiency improvements reduce energy consumption? Perspective of rebound effect and evidence from beijing," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PA).
    5. Rocha, Felipe Freitas da & Almeida, Edmar Luiz Fagundes de, 2021. "A general equilibrium model of macroeconomic rebound effect: A broader view," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    6. Brockway, Paul E. & Sorrell, Steve & Semieniuk, Gregor & Heun, Matthew Kuperus & Court, Victor, 2021. "Energy efficiency and economy-wide rebound effects: A review of the evidence and its implications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    7. Lin, Boqiang & Zhu, Penghu, 2021. "Measurement of the direct rebound effect of residential electricity consumption: An empirical study based on the China family panel studies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    8. Li, Ke & Jiang, Zhujun, 2016. "The impacts of removing energy subsidies on economy-wide rebound effects in China: An input-output analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 62-72.
    9. Jarke-Neuert, Johannes & Perino, Grischa, 2020. "Energy efficiency promotion backfires under cap-and-trade," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    10. Cansino, José M. & Ordóñez, Manuel & Prieto, Manuela, 2022. "Decomposition and measurement of the rebound effect: The case of energy efficiency improvements in Spain," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    11. Lin, Boqiang & Zhu, Runqing, 2022. "How does market-oriented reform influence the rebound effect of China’s mining industry?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 34-44.
    12. Colmenares, Gloria & Löschel, Andreas & Madlener, Reinhard, 2019. "The rebound effect and its representation in energy and climate models," CAWM Discussion Papers 106, University of Münster, Münster Center for Economic Policy (MEP).
    13. Adha, Rishan & Hong, Cheng-Yih & Firmansyah, M. & Paranata, Ade, 2021. "Rebound effect with energy efficiency determinants: a two-stage analysis of residential electricity consumption in Indonesia," MPRA Paper 110444, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Karakaya, Etem & Alataş, Sedat & Erkara, Elif & Mert, Betül & Akdoğan, Tuğba & Hiçyılmaz, Burcu, 2024. "The rebound effect of material and energy efficiency for the EU and its major trading partners," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    15. Ouyang, Xiaoling & Yang, Yuchuan & Du, Kerui & Cheng, Zhenyu, 2022. "How does residential electricity consumption respond to electricity efficiency improvement? Evidence from 287 prefecture-level cities in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    16. Ouyang, Xiaoling & Gao, Beiying & Du, Kerui & Du, Gang, 2018. "Industrial sectors' energy rebound effect: An empirical study of Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 408-416.
    17. Stern, David I., 2020. "How large is the economy-wide rebound effect?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    18. Amjadi, Golnaz & Lundgren, Tommy & Persson, Lars, 2018. "The Rebound Effect in Swedish Heavy Industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 140-148.
    19. Bruns, Stephan B. & Moneta, Alessio & Stern, David I., 2021. "Estimating the economy-wide rebound effect using empirically identified structural vector autoregressions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    20. Yan, Zheming & Ouyang, Xiaoling & Du, Kerui, 2019. "Economy-wide estimates of energy rebound effect: Evidence from China's provinces," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 389-401.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:197:y:2020:i:c:s0360544220302413. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.