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Multi-variable optimization for future electricity-plan scenarios in Lebanon

Author

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  • Ibrahim, Oussama
  • Fardoun, Farouk
  • Younes, Rafic
  • Louahlia-Gualous, Hasna
  • Ghandour, Mazen

Abstract

This paper presents a brief review of the conventional and renewable energy statuses, in Lebanon, as well as of the principal problems facing the electricity of Lebanon Company (EDL). In addition, an analytical-critical review of the latest three official Lebanese electricity plans is presented. Furthermore, two future electricity generation plan-scenarios for Lebanon are investigated, where multi variables are examined, namely: cost, environment and tariff. First, an economical-environmental optimization is carried out, where two reasonable scenarios are introduced based on the fuel source of CCGT power plants. Results revealed that the investment in wind energy and natural gas for power production should be a main concern in the future. Second, an optimization of the average electricity tariff for each of the two investigated generation scenarios is studied, where three different approaches are illustrated. Results confirm that all tariff plans are acceptable and convincing, and that the use of natural gas in CCGT plants is always preferred against gasoil. Moreover, the optimized average tariff is maximally a double of the current EDL average tariff, which is very convincing compared with the actual cost of electricity for the current Lebanese electricity sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Ibrahim, Oussama & Fardoun, Farouk & Younes, Rafic & Louahlia-Gualous, Hasna & Ghandour, Mazen, 2013. "Multi-variable optimization for future electricity-plan scenarios in Lebanon," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 49-56.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:58:y:2013:i:c:p:49-56
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.02.033
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ruble, Isabella & Nader, Pamela, 2011. "Transforming shortcomings into opportunities: Can market incentives solve Lebanon's energy crisis?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 2467-2474, May.
    2. World Bank, 2008. "Lebanon : Electricity Sector Public Expenditure Review," World Bank Publications - Reports 7990, The World Bank Group.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shakouri G., H. & Aliakbarisani, S., 2016. "At what valuation of sustainability can we abandon fossil fuels? A comprehensive multistage decision support model for electricity planning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 60-77.
    2. Al Moussawi, Houssein & Fardoun, Farouk & Louahlia, Hasna, 2017. "Selection based on differences between cogeneration and trigeneration in various prime mover technologies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 491-511.
    3. Elie Bouri & Joseph El Assad, 2016. "The Lebanese Electricity Woes: An Estimation of the Economical Costs of Power Interruptions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-12, July.
    4. Ibrahim, Oussama & Fardoun, Farouk & Younes, Rafic & Louahlia-Gualous, Hasna, 2014. "Air source heat pump water heater: Dynamic modeling, optimal energy management and mini-tubes condensers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 1102-1116.

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    Keywords

    Energy; EDL; Optimization;
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