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A simulation model for reliability-based appraisal of an energy policy: The case of Lebanon

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  • Hamdan, H.A.
  • Ghajar, R.F.
  • Chedid, R.B.

Abstract

The Lebanese Electric Power System (LEPS) has been suffering from technical and financial deficiencies for decades and mirrors the problems encountered in many developing countries suffering from inadequate or no power systems planning resulting in incomplete and ill-operating infrastructure, and suffering from effects of political instability, huge debts, unavailability of financing desired projects and inefficiency in operation. The upgrade and development of the system necessitate the adoption of a comprehensive energy policy that introduces solutions to a diversity of problems addressing the technical, financial, administrative and governance aspects of the system. In this paper, an energy policy for Lebanon is proposed and evaluated based on integration between energy modeling and financial modeling. The paper utilizes the Load Modification Technique (LMT) as a probabilistic tool to assess the impact of policy implementation on energy production, overall cost, technical/commercial losses and reliability. Scenarios reflecting implementation of policy projects are assessed and their impacts are compared with business-as-usual scenarios which assume no new investment is to take place in the sector. Conclusions are drawn on the usefulness of the proposed evaluation methodology and the effectiveness of the adopted energy policy for Lebanon and other developing countries suffering from similar power system problems.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamdan, H.A. & Ghajar, R.F. & Chedid, R.B., 2012. "A simulation model for reliability-based appraisal of an energy policy: The case of Lebanon," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 293-303.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:45:y:2012:i:c:p:293-303
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.02.034
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. World Bank, 2008. "Lebanon : Electricity Sector Public Expenditure Review," World Bank Publications - Reports 7990, The World Bank Group.
    4. Avetisyan, Misak & Bayless, David & Gnuni, Tigran, 2006. "Optimal expansion of a developing power system under the conditions of market economy and environmental constraints," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 455-466, July.
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    Cited by:

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    3. Kabakian, V. & McManus, M.C. & Harajli, H., 2015. "Attributional life cycle assessment of mounted 1.8kWp monocrystalline photovoltaic system with batteries and comparison with fossil energy production system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 428-437.
    4. Ibrahim, Oussama & Fardoun, Farouk & Younes, Rafic & Louahlia-Gualous, Hasna, 2013. "Energy status in Lebanon and electricity generation reform plan based on cost and pollution optimization," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 255-278.
    5. Zhou, P. & Jin, R.Y. & Fan, L.W., 2016. "Reliability and economic evaluation of power system with renewables: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 537-547.
    6. Elie Bouri & Joseph El Assad, 2016. "The Lebanese Electricity Woes: An Estimation of the Economical Costs of Power Interruptions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-12, July.
    7. Dagher, Leila & Jamali, Ibrahim & Abi Younes, Oussama, 2023. "Extreme energy poverty: The aftermath of Lebanon’s economic collapse," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).

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