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Life cycle implication of the potential commercialization of stover-based E85 in China

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  • Liu, Beibei
  • Wang, Feng
  • Yunze, Wu
  • Jun, Bi
  • Maoliang, Bu
  • Gao, Juan

Abstract

This article discusses an integrated framework built to compute the cost of stover-based E85, as well as its life cycle energy efficiency and CO2 emission, with consideration of uncertainties of the policy-related factors, in China. Results show that co-product treatment greatly influenced the performance of E85 route. The calculated values of energy efficiency in co-product burning for electricity scenario (the base scenario) and that in co-product for selling scenario (the alternative scenario) are 4.41 and 3.61, respectively. CO2 emission of the stover-based route is 99.7% more than that of the gasoline route in the base scenario and 55.3% less than that of the gasoline in the alternative scenario. The costs of E85 in these two scenarios are 9.78 and 7.76yuan/L, respectively. Based on the sensitivity and uncertainty analysis, the article suggests the following: (1) stover-based E85 is currently not competitive in terms of cost; (2) on the current stage, to make E85 competitive, policymakers should be concerned about stimulating processing innovation, providing subsidies on ethanol, feedstock and co-product, as well as raising gasoline price, rather than increasing carbon tax rate/promoting Cleaner Development Mechanism (CDM) projects or influencing consumers’ Willingness to Pay (WTP) for E85.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Beibei & Wang, Feng & Yunze, Wu & Jun, Bi & Maoliang, Bu & Gao, Juan, 2012. "Life cycle implication of the potential commercialization of stover-based E85 in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 371-380.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:43:y:2012:i:c:p:371-380
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2011.12.062
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    2. Yujun Yuan & Tong Li & Qiang Zhai, 2020. "Life Cycle Impact Assessment of Garbage-Classification Based Municipal Solid Waste Management Systems: A Comparative Case Study in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-20, July.
    3. Liu, Beibei & Wang, Feng & Zhang, Bing & Bi, Jun, 2013. "Energy balance and GHG emissions of cassava-based fuel ethanol using different planting modes in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 210-220.

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