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Meta-analysis of non-renewable energy resource estimates

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  • Dale, Michael

Abstract

This paper offers a review of estimates of ultimately recoverable resources (URR) of non-renewable energy sources: coal, conventional and unconventional oil, conventional and unconventional gas, and uranium for nuclear fission. There is a large range in the estimates of many of the energy sources, even those that have been utilized for a long time and, as such, should be well understood. If it is assumed that the estimates for each resource are normally distributed, then the total value of ultimately recoverable fossil and fissile energy resources is 70,592EJ. If, on the other hand, the best fitting distribution from each of the resource estimate populations is used, a the total value is 50,702EJ, a factor of around 30% smaller.

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  • Dale, Michael, 2012. "Meta-analysis of non-renewable energy resource estimates," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 102-122.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:43:y:2012:i:c:p:102-122
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2011.12.039
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    Cited by:

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    2. Capellán-Pérez, Iñigo & Mediavilla, Margarita & de Castro, Carlos & Carpintero, Óscar & Miguel, Luis Javier, 2014. "Fossil fuel depletion and socio-economic scenarios: An integrated approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 641-666.
    3. Iñigo Capellán-Pérez & Mikel González-Eguino & Iñaki Arto & Alberto Ansuategi & Kishore Dhavala & Pralit Patel & Anil Markandya, 2014. "New climate scenario framework implementation in the GCAM integrated assessment model," Working Papers 2014-04, BC3.
    4. Warren, Paul & De Simone, Giuseppe, 2014. "Fuelling the future?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(S1), pages 5-15.
    5. Sebri, Maamar, 2015. "Use renewables to be cleaner: Meta-analysis of the renewable energy consumption–economic growth nexus," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 657-665.
    6. Ritchie, Justin & Dowlatabadi, Hadi, 2017. "Why do climate change scenarios return to coal?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(P1), pages 1276-1291.

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