IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v231y2013i3p631-644.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Specifying measurement errors for required lifetime estimation performance

Author

Listed:
  • Si, Xiao-Sheng
  • Chen, Mao-Yin
  • Wang, Wenbin
  • Hu, Chang-Hua
  • Zhou, Dong-Hua

Abstract

Lifetime estimation based on the measured health monitoring data has long been investigated and applied in reliability and operational management communities and practices, such as planning maintenance schedules, logistic supports, and production planning. It is known that measurement error (ME) is a source of uncertainty in the measured data considerably affecting the performance of data driven lifetime estimation. While the effect of ME on the performance of data driven lifetime estimation models has been studied recently, a reversed problem—“the specification of the ME range to achieve a desirable lifetime estimation performance” has not been addressed. This problem is related to the usability of the measured health monitoring data for estimating the lifetime. In this paper, we deal with this problem and develop guidelines regarding the formulation of specification limits to the distribution-related ME characteristics. By referring to one widely applied Wiener process-based degradation model, permissible values for the ME bias and standard deviation can be given under a specified lifetime estimation requirement. If the performance of ME does not satisfy the permissible values, the desirable performance for lifetime estimation cannot be ensured by the measured health monitoring data. We further analyze the effect of ME on an age based replacement decision, which is one of the most common and popular maintenance policies in maintenance scheduling. Numerical examples and a case study are provided to illustrate the implementation procedure and usefulness of theoretical results.

Suggested Citation

  • Si, Xiao-Sheng & Chen, Mao-Yin & Wang, Wenbin & Hu, Chang-Hua & Zhou, Dong-Hua, 2013. "Specifying measurement errors for required lifetime estimation performance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 231(3), pages 631-644.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:231:y:2013:i:3:p:631-644
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2013.05.046
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221713004633
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2013.05.046?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barry L. Bayus, 1998. "An Analysis of Product Lifetimes in a Technologically Dynamic Industry," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(6), pages 763-775, June.
    2. Harvey,Andrew C., 1991. "Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521405737, November.
    3. Si, Xiao-Sheng & Wang, Wenbin & Hu, Chang-Hua & Zhou, Dong-Hua, 2011. "Remaining useful life estimation - A review on the statistical data driven approaches," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 1-14, August.
    4. Wang, Hongzhou, 2002. "A survey of maintenance policies of deteriorating systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 139(3), pages 469-489, June.
    5. Richard Barlow & Larry Hunter, 1960. "Optimum Preventive Maintenance Policies," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 8(1), pages 90-100, February.
    6. Christer, A. H. & Wang, W. & Sharp, J. M., 1997. "A state space condition monitoring model for furnace erosion prediction and replacement," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 101(1), pages 1-14, August.
    7. Ye, Meng-Hua, 1990. "Optimal replacement policy with stochastic maintenance and operation costs," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 84-94, January.
    8. Alaa H. Elwany & Nagi Z. Gebraeel & Lisa M. Maillart, 2011. "Structured Replacement Policies for Components with Complex Degradation Processes and Dedicated Sensors," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 59(3), pages 684-695, June.
    9. Carr, Matthew J. & Wang, Wenbin, 2011. "An approximate algorithm for prognostic modelling using condition monitoring information," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 211(1), pages 90-96, May.
    10. Crowder, Martin & Lawless, Jerald, 2007. "On a scheme for predictive maintenance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 176(3), pages 1713-1722, February.
    11. Ye, Zhi-Sheng & Shen, Yan & Xie, Min, 2012. "Degradation-based burn-in with preventive maintenance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(2), pages 360-367.
    12. Vagnorius, Zydrunas & Rausand, Marvin & Sørby, Knut, 2010. "Determining optimal replacement time for metal cutting tools," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 206(2), pages 407-416, October.
    13. C. Derman & G. J. Lieberman & S. M. Ross, 1984. "On the Use of Replacements to Extend System Life," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 32(3), pages 616-627, June.
    14. Chien, Yu-Hung & Sheu, Shey-Huei, 2006. "Extended optimal age-replacement policy with minimal repair of a system subject to shocks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 174(1), pages 169-181, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Mimi & Gaudoin, Olivier & Xie, Min, 2015. "Degradation-based maintenance decision using stochastic filtering for systems under imperfect maintenance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 245(2), pages 531-541.
    2. Shengjin Tang & Xiaosong Guo & Zhijie Zhou, 2014. "Mis-specification analysis of linear Wiener process–based degradation models for the remaining useful life estimation," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 228(5), pages 478-487, October.
    3. Pan, Donghui & Wei, Yantao & Fang, Houzhang & Yang, Wenzhi, 2018. "A reliability estimation approach via Wiener degradation model with measurement errors," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 320(C), pages 131-141.
    4. Pan, Donghui & Liu, Jia-Bao & Yang, Wenzhi, 2018. "A new result on lifetime estimation based on skew-Wiener degradation model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 157-164.
    5. Lin, Wenyi & Chai, Yi & Fan, Linchuan & Zhang, Ke, 2024. "Remaining useful life prediction using nonlinear multi-phase Wiener process and variational Bayesian approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    6. Li Sun & Fangchao Zhao & Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan & Honggen Zhou & Xiaohui Gu, 2021. "A nonlinear Wiener degradation model integrating degradation data under accelerated stresses and real operating environment," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 235(3), pages 356-373, June.
    7. Zhai, Qingqing & Chen, Piao & Hong, Lanqing & Shen, Lijuan, 2018. "A random-effects Wiener degradation model based on accelerated failure time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 94-103.
    8. Kim, Seokgoo & Choi, Joo-Ho & Kim, Nam Ho, 2022. "Inspection schedule for prognostics with uncertainty management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    9. Shengjin Tang & Chuanqiang Yu & Xue Wang & Xiaosong Guo & Xiaosheng Si, 2014. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on the Wiener Process with Measurement Error," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-28, January.
    10. Zhang, Zhengxin & Si, Xiaosheng & Hu, Changhua & Lei, Yaguo, 2018. "Degradation data analysis and remaining useful life estimation: A review on Wiener-process-based methods," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(3), pages 775-796.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Zhengxin & Si, Xiaosheng & Hu, Changhua & Lei, Yaguo, 2018. "Degradation data analysis and remaining useful life estimation: A review on Wiener-process-based methods," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(3), pages 775-796.
    2. Wang, Xiaolin & Balakrishnan, Narayanaswamy & Guo, Bo, 2014. "Residual life estimation based on a generalized Wiener degradation process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 13-23.
    3. de Jonge, Bram & Teunter, Ruud & Tinga, Tiedo, 2017. "The influence of practical factors on the benefits of condition-based maintenance over time-based maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 21-30.
    4. Si, Xiao-Sheng & Wang, Wenbin & Chen, Mao-Yin & Hu, Chang-Hua & Zhou, Dong-Hua, 2013. "A degradation path-dependent approach for remaining useful life estimation with an exact and closed-form solution," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 226(1), pages 53-66.
    5. Zhengxin Zhang & Xiaosheng Si & Changhua Hu & Xiangyu Kong, 2015. "Degradation modeling–based remaining useful life estimation: A review on approaches for systems with heterogeneity," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(4), pages 343-355, August.
    6. Alaswad, Suzan & Xiang, Yisha, 2017. "A review on condition-based maintenance optimization models for stochastically deteriorating system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 54-63.
    7. Badía, F.G. & Berrade, M.D. & Cha, Ji Hwan & Lee, Hyunju, 2018. "Optimal replacement policy under a general failure and repair model: Minimal versus worse than old repair," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 362-372.
    8. Guo, Chiming & Wang, Wenbin & Guo, Bo & Si, Xiaosheng, 2013. "A maintenance optimization model for mission-oriented systems based on Wiener degradation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 183-194.
    9. Drent, Collin & Drent, Melvin & Arts, Joachim, 2024. "Condition-based production for stochastically deteriorating systems: Optimal policies and learning," Other publications TiSEM 69737ccb-2893-497d-b597-e, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    10. Shengjin Tang & Chuanqiang Yu & Xue Wang & Xiaosong Guo & Xiaosheng Si, 2014. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on the Wiener Process with Measurement Error," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-28, January.
    11. Ming-Yi You & Guang Meng, 2012. "A modularized framework for predictive maintenance scheduling," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 226(4), pages 380-391, August.
    12. Lee, Juseong & Mitici, Mihaela, 2020. "An integrated assessment of safety and efficiency of aircraft maintenance strategies using agent-based modelling and stochastic Petri nets," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    13. Fauriat, William & Zio, Enrico, 2020. "Optimization of an aperiodic sequential inspection and condition-based maintenance policy driven by value of information," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    14. Gilardoni, Gustavo L. & de Toledo, Maria Luiza Guerra & Freitas, Marta A. & Colosimo, Enrico A., 2016. "Dynamics of an optimal maintenance policy for imperfect repair models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 248(3), pages 1104-1112.
    15. Tang, Diyin & Makis, Viliam & Jafari, Leila & Yu, Jinsong, 2015. "Optimal maintenance policy and residual life estimation for a slowly degrading system subject to condition monitoring," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 198-207.
    16. Si, Xiao-Sheng & Wang, Wenbin & Hu, Chang-Hua & Zhou, Dong-Hua, 2011. "Remaining useful life estimation - A review on the statistical data driven approaches," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 1-14, August.
    17. Finkelstein, Maxim & Cha, Ji Hwan & Langston, Amy, 2023. "Improving classical optimal age-replacement policies for degrading items," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    18. Ji Hwan Cha & Maxim Finkelstein, 2020. "On optimal life extension for degrading systems," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 234(3), pages 487-495, June.
    19. Belyi, Dmitriy & Popova, Elmira & Morton, David P. & Damien, Paul, 2017. "Bayesian failure-rate modeling and preventive maintenance optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(3), pages 1085-1093.
    20. Briš, Radim & Byczanski, Petr & Goňo, Radomír & Rusek, Stanislav, 2017. "Discrete maintenance optimization of complex multi-component systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 80-89.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:231:y:2013:i:3:p:631-644. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.