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Risk-adjusted probability measures in portfolio optimization with coherent measures of risk

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  • Miller, Naomi
  • Ruszczynski, Andrzej

Abstract

We consider the problem of optimizing a portfolio of n assets, whose returns are described by a joint discrete distribution. We formulate the mean-risk model, using as risk functionals the semideviation, deviation from quantile, and spectral risk measures. Using the modern theory of measures of risk, we derive an equivalent representation of the portfolio problem as a zero-sum matrix game, and we provide ways to solve it by convex optimization techniques. In this way, we reconstruct new probability measures which constitute part of the saddle point of the game. These risk-adjusted measures always exist, irrespective of the completeness of the market. We provide an illustrative example, in which we derive these measures in a universe of 200 assets and we use them to evaluate the market portfolio and optimal risk-averse portfolios.

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  • Miller, Naomi & Ruszczynski, Andrzej, 2008. "Risk-adjusted probability measures in portfolio optimization with coherent measures of risk," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 193-206, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:191:y:2008:i:1:p:193-206
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    Cited by:

    1. Topaloglou, Nikolas & Vladimirou, Hercules & Zenios, Stavros A., 2011. "Optimizing international portfolios with options and forwards," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 3188-3201.
    2. Xue, Jing-Hao & Titterington, D. Michael, 2011. "The p-folded cumulative distribution function and the mean absolute deviation from the p-quantile," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(8), pages 1179-1182, August.
    3. Libo Yin & Liyan Han, 2013. "Options strategies for international portfolios with overall risk management via multi-stage stochastic programming," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 206(1), pages 557-576, July.
    4. Zsolt Bihary & Péter Csóka & Dávid Zoltán Szabó, 2020. "Spectral risk measure of holding stocks in the long run," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 295(1), pages 75-89, December.
    5. Balbás, Alejandro & Balbás, Beatriz & Heras, Antonio, 2011. "Stable solutions for optimal reinsurance problems involving risk measures," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 214(3), pages 796-804, November.
    6. Balbás, Beatriz & Heras, Antonio, 2010. "Stability of the optimal reinsurance with respect to the risk measure," DEE - Working Papers. Business Economics. WB wb100201, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía de la Empresa.
    7. Lizyayev, Andrey & Ruszczyński, Andrzej, 2012. "Tractable Almost Stochastic Dominance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 448-455.
    8. Borgonovo, E. & Cappelli, V. & Maccheroni, F. & Marinacci, M., 2018. "Risk analysis and decision theory: A bridge," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(1), pages 280-293.
    9. Włodzimierz Ogryczak & Tomasz Śliwiński, 2011. "On solving the dual for portfolio selection by optimizing Conditional Value at Risk," Computational Optimization and Applications, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 591-595, December.
    10. Balbás, Alejandro & Balbás, Beatriz & Balbás, Raquel, 2010. "CAPM and APT-like models with risk measures," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1166-1174, June.
    11. Bigi, Giancarlo & Castellani, Marco & Pappalardo, Massimo & Passacantando, Mauro, 2013. "Existence and solution methods for equilibria," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 1-11.
    12. Grechuk, Bogdan & Zabarankin, Michael, 2016. "Inverse portfolio problem with coherent risk measures," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 249(2), pages 740-750.
    13. Borgonovo, Emanuele & Gatti, Stefano, 2013. "Risk analysis with contractual default. Does covenant breach matter?," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 230(2), pages 431-443.
    14. Constantin Zopounidis & Michael Doumpos, 2013. "Rejoinder on: Multicriteria decision systems for financial problems," TOP: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(2), pages 282-286, July.
    15. Massimo Pappalardo & Giandomenico Mastroeni & Mauro Passacantando, 2016. "Merit functions: a bridge between optimization and equilibria," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 240(1), pages 271-299, May.
    16. Sungyong Choi & Andrzej Ruszczyński & Yao Zhao, 2011. "A Multiproduct Risk-Averse Newsvendor with Law-Invariant Coherent Measures of Risk," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 59(2), pages 346-364, April.
    17. Pichler, Alois & Schlotter, Ruben, 2020. "Entropy based risk measures," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 285(1), pages 223-236.
    18. Gaobo Li & Yanxia Lu & Yeol Je Cho, 2019. "Viscosity extragradient method with Armijo linesearch rule for pseudomonotone equilibrium problem and fixed point problem in Hilbert spaces," Indian Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 903-921, December.
    19. Akhter Mohiuddin Rather, 2012. "Portfolio selection using mean-risk model and mean-risk diversification model," International Journal of Operational Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 14(3), pages 324-342.
    20. Collado, Ricardo & Meisel, Stephan & Priekule, Laura, 2017. "Risk-averse stochastic path detection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 260(1), pages 195-211.
    21. Jareño, Francisco & Navarro, Eliseo, 2010. "Stock interest rate risk and inflation shocks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 337-348, March.
    22. Giancarlo Bigi & Mauro Passacantando, 2015. "Descent and Penalization Techniques for Equilibrium Problems with Nonlinear Constraints," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 804-818, March.

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