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Populist voting and losers’ discontent: Does redistribution matter?

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  • Albanese, Giuseppe
  • Barone, Guglielmo
  • de Blasio, Guido

Abstract

Economic roots of populism in Western countries point to the role of economic insecurity that plagues losers from recent large economic shocks. We show that fiscal redistribution matters by comparing Italian municipalities equally hit by the economic shocks leading to populism but, at the same time, very differently exposed to the generosity of the EU structural funds, because of their locations on the two opposite sides of the geographical border that determines eligibility. Estimates resulting from a spatial regression discontinuity design show that in 2013 general election larger EU financing caused a drop in populism of about 9% of the mean of the dependent variable.

Suggested Citation

  • Albanese, Giuseppe & Barone, Guglielmo & de Blasio, Guido, 2022. "Populist voting and losers’ discontent: Does redistribution matter?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:141:y:2022:i:c:s0014292121002749
    DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.104000
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    Cited by:

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    4. Crescenzi, Riccardo & Di Cataldo, Marco & Giua, Mara, 2020. "It’s not about the money. EU funds, local opportunities, and Euroscepticism," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    5. Sergei Guriev & Elias Papaioannou, 2022. "The Political Economy of Populism," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 60(3), pages 753-832, September.
    6. Eveline S. van Leeuwen & Solmaria Halleck Vega, 2021. "Voting and the rise of populism: Spatial perspectives and applications across Europe," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(2), pages 209-219, April.
    7. Giaccherini, Matilde & Kopinska, Joanna & Rovigatti, Gabriele, 2024. "Vax Populi: the Social Costs of Online Vaccine Skepticism," CEPR Discussion Papers 18788, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Jan Gromadzki & Katarzyna Sałach & Michał Brzeziński, 2024. "When populists deliver on their promises: the electoral effects of a large cash transfer programme in Poland," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 91(361), pages 320-345, January.
    9. K. Peren Arin & Efstathios Polyzos & Marcel Thum, 2023. "The Populist Voter: A Machine Learning Approach for the Individual Characteristics," CESifo Working Paper Series 10472, CESifo.
    10. Cerqua, A. & Ferrante, C. & Letta, M., 2021. "Electoral Earthquake: Natural Disasters and the Geography of Discontent," GLO Discussion Paper Series 790, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    11. Cuccu, Liliana & Pontarollo, Nicola, 2024. "Logistic hubs and support for radical-right populism: Evidence from Italy," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    12. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu & Yao, Yao, 2023. "Great or grim? Disagreement about Brexit, economic expectations and household spending," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119200, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    13. Matilde Giaccherini & Joanna Kopinska & Gabriele Rovigatti, 2022. "Vax Populi: The Social Costs of Online Vaccine Skepticism," CESifo Working Paper Series 10184, CESifo.
    14. Gold, Robert & Lehr, Jakob, 2024. "Paying off populism: EU regional policy decreases populist support," Kiel Policy Brief 172, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    15. Cerqua, Augusto & Ferrante, Chiara & Letta, Marco, 2023. "Electoral earthquake: Local shocks and authoritarian voting," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    16. Andrés Rodríguez-Pose & Lewis Dijkstra & Hugo Poelman, 2024. "The Geography of EU Discontent and the Regional Development Trap," Economic Geography, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 100(3), pages 213-245, May.
    17. Riccardo Crescenzi & Marco Di Cotaldo & Mara Guia, 2019. "It’s not about the money! EU funds, local opportunities, and the Brexit vote," LEQS – LSE 'Europe in Question' Discussion Paper Series 149, European Institute, LSE.
    18. Monturano, Gianluca & Resce, Giuliano & Ventura, Marco, 2022. "Place-Based Policies and the location of economic activity: evidence from the Italian Strategy for Inner areas," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp22087, University of Molise, Department of Economics.
    19. Giuseppe Albanese & Guglielmo Barone & Guido de Blasio, 2023. "The impact of place‐based policies on interpersonal income inequality," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 90(358), pages 508-530, April.
    20. Marco Di Cataldo & Elena Renzullo, 2024. "EU Money and Mayors: Does Cohesion Policy affect local electoral outcomes?," Working Papers 2024: 02, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    21. Dante Di Matteo & Ilaria Mariotti, 2021. "Italian discontent and right‐wing populism: determinants, geographies, patterns," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(2), pages 371-396, April.
    22. Dana Kubenkova, 2023. "European Union Cohesion Policy and Euroscepticism: A Literature Review," RAIS Conference Proceedings 2022-2024 0260, Research Association for Interdisciplinary Studies.
    23. Mona Förtsch, 2024. "Local High School Closures and Voter Turnout: Evidence from East German Municipalities," ifo Working Paper Series 411, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    24. Andreas Bergh & Philipp C. Wichardt & Philipp Christoph Wichardt, 2024. "On Credibility and Causality in Economics: A Critical Appraisal," CESifo Working Paper Series 11224, CESifo.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Populism; Voting; EU regional redistribution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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