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Current account and real exchange rate changes: The impact of trade openness

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  • Romelli, Davide
  • Terra, Cristina
  • Vasconcelos, Enrico

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of trade openness on the relationship between current account and the real exchange rate, by focusing on event windows of significant balance of payments distress. We identify episodes of sudden stops in capital flows and of abrupt currency depreciations for a large sample of developed and emerging economies over the period 1970–2011, and we find that, during these episodes, currency depreciations are associated with larger improvements in the current account in countries that are more open to trade. Our results suggest that the magnitude of exchange rate depreciations over the adjustment process of current accounts is related to the degree of openness to trade.

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  • Romelli, Davide & Terra, Cristina & Vasconcelos, Enrico, 2018. "Current account and real exchange rate changes: The impact of trade openness," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 135-158.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:105:y:2018:i:c:p:135-158
    DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2018.03.009
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    3. Khumalo, Zitsile Zamantungwa & Eita, Joel Hinaunye & Choga, Ireen, 2020. "An Empirical Test of Real Exchange Rate Overshooting in Selected African Countries," MPRA Paper 101303, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    5. Emter, Lorenz, 2023. "Leverage cycles, growth shocks, and sudden stops in capital inflows," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 711-731.
    6. Katarzyna Twarowska-Mol & Małgorzata Twarowska-Ratajczak, 2021. "Analysis of Factors Determining Global Payment Imbalances in 2000-2019," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 455-478.
    7. Bosede Victoria Kudaisi, 2022. "Trade, Financial Liberalisation And Current Account Balance In Nigeria," Oradea Journal of Business and Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 7(special), pages 36-50, June.
    8. Ernesto R. Gantman & Marcelo P. Dabós, 2018. "Does trade openness influence the real effective exchange rate? New evidence from panel time-series," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 9(1), pages 91-113, March.
    9. Yushi Yoshida & Weiyang Zhai, 2021. "Revisiting the Glick–Rogoff Current Account Model: An Application to the Current Accounts of BRICS Countries," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Gilles Dufrénot & Takashi Matsuki (ed.), Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data, pages 265-291, Springer.
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    11. Helena Glebocki Keefe & Sujata Saha, 2022. "Threshold effects of openness on real and nominal effective exchange rates in emerging and developing economies," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(5), pages 1386-1408, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade openness; Exchange rate depreciation; Sudden stops;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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