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Spurious cross-sectional dependence in credit spread changes

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  • Jaskowski, Marcin
  • McAleer, Michael

Abstract

In order to understand the lingering credit risk puzzle and the apparent segmentation of the stock market from credit markets, we need to be able to assess the strength of the cross-sectional dependence in credit spreads. This turns out to be a non-trivial task due to the extreme data sparsity that is typical for any panel of credit spreads that is extracted from corporate bond transactions. The problem of data sparsity has led to some erroneous conclusions in the literature, including inferences that have been drawn from spurious cross-sectional dependence in credit spread changes. Understanding the pitfalls leads to improved estimation of the latent factor in credit spread changes and its characteristics.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaskowski, Marcin & McAleer, Michael, 2021. "Spurious cross-sectional dependence in credit spread changes," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 12-27.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosta:v:18:y:2021:i:c:p:12-27
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2019.09.001
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit spread puzzle; Market segmentation; Latent factors; Spurious cross-sectional dependence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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