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Bayesian regression with heteroscedastic error density and parametric mean function

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  • Pelenis, Justinas

Abstract

In this paper we consider Bayesian estimation of restricted conditional moment models with the linear regression as a particular example. A common practice in the Bayesian literature for linear regression and other semi-parametric models is to use flexible families of distributions for the errors and to assume that the errors are independent from covariates. However, a model with flexible covariate dependent error distributions should be preferred for the following reason. Assuming that the error distribution is independent of predictors might lead to inconsistent estimation of the parameters of interest when errors and covariates are dependent. To address this issue, we develop a Bayesian regression model with a parametric mean function defined by a conditional moment condition and flexible predictor dependent error densities. Sufficient conditions to achieve posterior consistency of the regression parameters and conditional error densities are provided. In experiments, the proposed method compares favorably with classical and alternative Bayesian estimation methods for the estimation of the regression coefficients and conditional densities.

Suggested Citation

  • Pelenis, Justinas, 2014. "Bayesian regression with heteroscedastic error density and parametric mean function," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 624-638.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:178:y:2014:i:p3:p:624-638
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.10.006
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    Cited by:

    1. Laura Liu, 2018. "Density Forecasts in Panel Data Models : A Semiparametric Bayesian Perspective," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. repec:cte:wsrepe:ws1504 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Federico Bassetti & Roberto Casarin & Marco Del Negro, 2022. "A Bayesian Approach to Inference on Probabilistic Surveys," Staff Reports 1025, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    4. Hien Duy Nguyen & TrungTin Nguyen & Faicel Chamroukhi & Geoffrey John McLachlan, 2021. "Approximations of conditional probability density functions in Lebesgue spaces via mixture of experts models," Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-15, December.
    5. Norets, Andriy, 2015. "Bayesian regression with nonparametric heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(2), pages 409-419.
    6. Abhra Sarkar & Bani K. Mallick & Raymond J. Carroll, 2014. "Bayesian semiparametric regression in the presence of conditionally heteroscedastic measurement and regression errors," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 70(4), pages 823-834, December.
    7. Laura Liu, 2017. "Density Forecasts in Panel Models: A semiparametric Bayesian Perspective," PIER Working Paper Archive 17-006, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 28 Apr 2017.
    8. repec:cte:whrepe:ws1504 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Mukhoti, Sujay & Guhathakurta, Kousik, 2015. "Product market performance and capital structure: A Hierarchical Bayesian semi-parametric panel regression model," MPRA Paper 62517, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Lewis, Gabriel, 2022. "Heteroskedasticity and Clustered Covariances from a Bayesian Perspective," MPRA Paper 116662, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bayesian semi-parametrics; Bayesian conditional density estimation; Heteroscedastic linear regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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