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Modeling of intra-annual abundance distributions: Constancy and variation in the phenology of marine phytoplankton species over five decades at Helgoland Roads (North Sea)

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  • Scharfe, Mirco
  • Wiltshire, Karen Helen

Abstract

Annually recurring environmental processes such as the cycle of temperature and light drive the phenology of marine plankton populations. Improved knowledge about the homogeneity and amplitude of the phenological response of phytoplankton to climate change is essential for an assessment of ecological consequences on the marine ecosystem. We analyzed phenological variability of 21 phytoplankton species monitored work-daily at Helgoland Roads from 1962-2015. We used a function of “Weibull”-type to estimate phenological dates of species-specific abundance peaks. The combination of derived dates and peak abundances formed the basis for the analyses of long-term changes in phenological time slots and associated environmental conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Scharfe, Mirco & Wiltshire, Karen Helen, 2019. "Modeling of intra-annual abundance distributions: Constancy and variation in the phenology of marine phytoplankton species over five decades at Helgoland Roads (North Sea)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 404(C), pages 46-60.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:404:y:2019:i:c:p:46-60
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2019.01.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Martin Edwards & Anthony J. Richardson, 2004. "Impact of climate change on marine pelagic phenology and trophic mismatch," Nature, Nature, vol. 430(7002), pages 881-884, August.
    2. Sarker, Subrata & Feudel, Ulrike & Meunier, Cédric L. & Lemke, Peter & Dutta, Partha S. & Wiltshire, Karen H., 2018. "To share or not to share? Phytoplankton species coexistence puzzle in a competition model incorporating multiple resource-limitation and synthesizing unit concepts," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 383(C), pages 150-159.
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