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Exchange-rate and news: Evidence from the COVID pandemic

Author

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  • Aquilante, Tommaso
  • Di Pace, Federico
  • Masolo, Riccardo M.

Abstract

We estimate daily linear regressions and panel VAR to study the effect of Covid-19 news on exchange rates. We find that adverse pandemic news at the country level cause an immediate, statistically significant, depreciation of the domestic currency vis-à-vis a basket of trade-weighted currencies. This effect is more pronounced for free-floating economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Aquilante, Tommaso & Di Pace, Federico & Masolo, Riccardo M., 2022. "Exchange-rate and news: Evidence from the COVID pandemic," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:213:y:2022:i:c:s0165176522000647
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2022.110390
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Klose, Jens, 2023. "European exchange rate adjustments in response to COVID-19, containment measures and stabilization policies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    2. Wei Guo & Zhongfei Chen, 2023. "China–US economic and trade relations, trade news, and short‐term fluctuation of the RMB exchange rate," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 180-203, February.
    3. Lu, Changrong & Li, Jiaxiang & Liu, Lian & Yu, Fandi, 2023. "Spillover effect of the RMB and Non-USD currencies after the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence captured from 30-minute high frequency data," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 527-552.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; News; Exchange rate; Panel VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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