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A model-free test for contagion between crude oil and stock markets

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  • Pan, Zhiyuan
  • Zheng, Xu
  • Gong, Yuting

Abstract

This paper extends Hong et al. (2007)’s model-free test to analyze the contagion. A simulation experiment reveals that our test has reasonable size and good power in finite sample. We use this test and find the strong evidence of contagion between crude oil and stock markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Pan, Zhiyuan & Zheng, Xu & Gong, Yuting, 2015. "A model-free test for contagion between crude oil and stock markets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 1-4.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:130:y:2015:i:c:p:1-4
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.02.023
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kristin J. Forbes & Roberto Rigobon, 2002. "No Contagion, Only Interdependence: Measuring Stock Market Comovements," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 2223-2261, October.
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    4. Chiang, Thomas C. & Jeon, Bang Nam & Li, Huimin, 2007. "Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from Asian markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1206-1228, November.
    5. Andrews, Donald W K, 1991. "Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 817-858, May.
    6. Donald Lien & Chongfeng Wu & Li Yang & Chunyang Zhou, 2013. "Dynamic and Asymmetric Dependences Between Chinese Yuan and Other Asia‐Pacific Currencies," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(8), pages 696-723, August.
    7. Wen, Xiaoqian & Wei, Yu & Huang, Dengshi, 2012. "Measuring contagion between energy market and stock market during financial crisis: A copula approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1435-1446.
    8. Zhiyuan Pan & Xu Zheng & Qiang Chen, 2014. "Testing asymmetric correlations in stock returns via empirical likelihood method," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(1), pages 42-57, February.
    9. Yudong Wang & Chongfeng Wu & Li Yang, 2015. "Hedging with Futures: Does Anything Beat the Naïve Hedging Strategy?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(12), pages 2870-2889, December.
    10. Rodriguez, Juan Carlos, 2007. "Measuring financial contagion: A Copula approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 401-423, June.
    11. Engle, Robert, 2002. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(3), pages 339-350, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Abubakar Jamaladeen & David E. Omoregie & Samuel F. Onipede & Nafiu A. Bashir, 2022. "A regime-switching skew-normal model of contagion in some selected stock markets," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(12), pages 1-20, December.
    2. Zhang, Feipeng & Xu, Yixiong & Yuan, Di, 2024. "Detecting financial contagion using a new nonparametric measure of asymmetric comovements," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 284-296.
    3. Neha Seth & Monica Sighania, 2017. "Financial market contagion: selective review of reviews," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(4), pages 391-408, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Contagion; Model-free test; Crude oil market; Stock market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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