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Age structure and the current account

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  • Gudmundsson, Gudmundur S.
  • Zoega, Gylfi

Abstract

We adjust current account surpluses and deficits of 57 countries in the period 2005–2009 for differences in the age structure of their populations and find that these differences can account for a significant part of the variation in the data. Among the large countries we find that the adjustment increases the surpluses of Germany and Japan while the surpluses of China, Singapore, Hong Kong, Korea, Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia are significantly diminished.

Suggested Citation

  • Gudmundsson, Gudmundur S. & Zoega, Gylfi, 2014. "Age structure and the current account," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(2), pages 183-186.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:123:y:2014:i:2:p:183-186
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2014.02.001
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    Cited by:

    1. Yuan-Ho Hsu & Hiroshi Yoshida & Fengming Chen, 2022. "The Impacts of Population Aging on China’s Economy," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 14(1), pages 105-130, January.
    2. Hassan B. Ghassan & Hassan R. Alhajhoj & Faruk Balli, 2022. "Bi-demographic and current account dynamics using SVAR model: evidence from Saudi Arabia," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1327-1363, August.
    3. Aneesha Chitgupi, 2018. "Impact of age structure transition on current account balance for India: An empirical analysis," Working Papers 420, Institute for Social and Economic Change, Bangalore.
    4. Margarita Katsimi & Gylfi Zoega, 2016. "European Integration and the Feldstein–Horioka Puzzle," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(6), pages 834-852, December.
    5. Soo Xin Lin & Jerome Kueh, 2019. "Determinants of Current Account Balance in Six ASEAN Countries: A Panel Analysis Approach," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(7), pages 129-129, July.
    6. Aneesha Chitgupi, 2019. "Impact of Age–Structure Transition on India’s Current Account Balance: An Empirical Analysis," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 13(2), pages 208-231, May.
    7. Gudmundsson, Gudmundur S. & Zoega, Gylfi, 2016. "A double-edged sword: High interest rates in capital control regimes," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-38.
    8. Vlandas, Tim, 2022. "Grey power and Economic Performance," SocArXiv d3ybr, Center for Open Science.
    9. Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2019. "Episodios de deterioro de la cuenta corriente en Colombia: factores externos, cíclicos y estructurales," Borradores de Economia 1061, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    10. Harald Badinger & Aurélien Fichet de Clairfontaine & Wolf Heinrich Reuter, 2017. "Fiscal Rules and Twin Deficits: The Link between Fiscal and External Balances," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 21-35, January.
    11. Gylfi Zoega, 2023. "Current Account Imbalances after Bretton Woods," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 51(1), pages 27-37, March.
    12. Ghassan, Hassan & Alhajhoj, Hassan R. & Balli, Faruk, 2018. "Bi-Demographic Changes and Current Account using SVAR Modeling: Evidence from Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 93013, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Feb 2019.
    13. Hassan Belkacem Ghassan & Hassan Rafdan Al-Hajhoj & Faruk Balli, 2019. "Bi-Demographic Changes and Current Account using SVAR Modeling: Evidence from Saudi Economy," Working Papers hal-01742574, HAL.
    14. Hassan B. Ghassan & Hassan R. Al-Hajhoj & Faruk Balli, 2018. "Bi-Demographic Changes and Current Account using SVAR Modeling," Papers 1803.11161, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Current account; Age structure; Life-cycle behavior;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment

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