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Gauging potential sovereign risk contagion in Europe

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  • Fong, Tom Pak Wing
  • Wong, Alfred Y-T.

Abstract

This study adopts the CoVaR methodology to analyse the tail risk relationships among European sovereigns, which provide arguably important information for policymakers to identify countries that should come under close scrutiny during the current debt crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Fong, Tom Pak Wing & Wong, Alfred Y-T., 2012. "Gauging potential sovereign risk contagion in Europe," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 496-499.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:115:y:2012:i:3:p:496-499
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.12.112
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Koenker, Roger W & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1978. "Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 33-50, January.
    2. Wong, Alfred Y-T. & Fong, Tom Pak Wing, 2011. "Analysing interconnectivity among economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 432-442.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Borri, Nicola, 2018. "Local currency systemic risk," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 111-123.
    2. Tola, Albi & Wälti, Sébastien, 2015. "Deciphering financial contagion in the euro area during the crisis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 108-123.
    3. Claeys, Peter & Vašíček, Bořek, 2014. "Measuring bilateral spillover and testing contagion on sovereign bond markets in Europe," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 151-165.
    4. Graham Bird & Wenti Du & Thomas Willett, 2017. "Behavioral Finance and Efficient Markets: What does the Euro Crisis Tell us?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 273-295, April.
    5. Sarafrazi, Soodabeh & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & AraújoSantos, Paulo, 2014. "Downside risk, portfolio diversification and the financial crisis in the euro-zone," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 368-396.
    6. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Nor, Safwan Mohd & Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh & Mensi, Walid, 2017. "Interdependence and contagion among industry-level US credit markets: An application of wavelet and VMD based copula approaches," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 466(C), pages 310-324.
    7. Ludwig, Alexander, 2014. "A unified approach to investigate pure and wake-up-call contagion: Evidence from the Eurozone's first financial crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PA), pages 125-146.
    8. Mikhail Stolbov, 2017. "Assessing systemic risk and its determinants for advanced and major emerging economies: the case of ΔCoVaR," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 119-152, January.
    9. Stelios Bekiros & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rania Jammazi & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2018. "Sovereign bond market dependencies and crisis transmission around the eurozone debt crisis: a dynamic copula approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(47), pages 5031-5049, October.
    10. Bei, Zeyun & Lin, Juan & Zhou, Yinggang, 2024. "No safe haven, only diversification and contagion — Intraday evidence around the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    11. Hail Park & Yongcheol Shin, 2014. "Mapping Korea's International Linkages using Generalised Connectedness Measures," Working Papers 2014-16, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    12. Suh, Sangwon, 2015. "Measuring sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 45-65.
    13. Pami Dua & Divya Tuteja, 2017. "Impact Of Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis On China And India," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(05), pages 1137-1164, December.
    14. Nan, Shijing & Wang, Minna & You, Wanhai & Guo, Yawei, 2023. "Making text count: Identifying systemic risk spillover channels in the Chinese banking sector using annual reports text," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    15. Dewandaru, Ginanjar & Masih, Rumi & Masih, A. Mansur M., 2016. "What can wavelets unveil about the vulnerabilities of monetary integration? A tale of Eurozone stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 981-996.
    16. Borri, Nicola, 2019. "Conditional tail-risk in cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-19.
    17. Renée Fry-McKibbin & Cody Hsiao & Chrismin Tang, 2014. "Contagion and Global Financial Crises: Lessons from Nine Crisis Episodes," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 521-570, July.
    18. Tom Pak Wing Fong & Alfred Yun Tong Wong, 2020. "Safehavenness of the Chinese renminbi," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(2), pages 215-233, August.
    19. Borri, Nicola, 2019. "Redenomination-risk spillovers in the Eurozone," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 173-178.
    20. Ginanjar Dewandaru & Rumi Masih & Mansur Masih, 2018. "Unraveling the Financial Contagion in European Stock Markets During Financial Crises: Multi-Timescale Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(4), pages 859-880, March.
    21. Ludwig, Alexander, 2013. "Sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone: a time-varying coefficient approach," MPRA Paper 52340, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Li, Xindan & Yu, Honghai & Fang, Libing & Xiong, Cheng, 2019. "Do firm-level factors play forward-looking role for financial systemic risk: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    23. Alfred Wong & Tom Fong, 2013. "Gauging the Safehavenness of Currencies," Working Papers 132013, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign risk; Contagion; Tail risk; European debt crisis; Credit default swap;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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