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Analysing Interconnectivity among Economies

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  • Alfred Wong

    (Research Department, Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

  • Tom Fong

    (Research Department, Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

Abstract

As international financial integration gathers pace, interconnectivity has increased tremendously among financial institutions, financial markets and financial systems, a phenomenon to which the recent global financial crisis perhaps provided the best testimony. The interconnectivity among financial entities at various levels is multilateral in dimension and highly complicated with numerous feedback loops. To contribute to the understanding of the complexity of the global financial system, this study shows how the interconnected relationships can be disentangled into simple and quantifiable bilateral interdependence linkages, using 11 Asia-Pacific economies as an example. A major finding is that all these economies register a significantly higher sovereign risk once the condition that another economy is in distress is imposed.

Suggested Citation

  • Alfred Wong & Tom Fong, 2010. "Analysing Interconnectivity among Economies," Working Papers 1003, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
    • Handle: RePEc:hkg:wpaper:1003
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    3. Fong, Tom Pak Wing & Wong, Alfred Y-T., 2012. "Gauging potential sovereign risk contagion in Europe," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 496-499.
    4. Lumengo Bonga-Bonga & Mathias mandla Manguzvane, 2020. "Assessing the extent of contagion of sovereign credit risk among BRICS countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(2), pages 1017-1032.
    5. Qin, Xiao & Zhou, Chunyang, 2019. "Financial structure and determinants of systemic risk contribution," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    6. Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2016. "CoVaR," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(7), pages 1705-1741, July.
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      • Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2011. "CoVaR," NBER Working Papers 17454, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Daly, Kevin & Batten, Jonathan A. & Mishra, Anil V. & Choudhury, Tonmoy, 2019. "Contagion risk in global banking sector," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    8. Sylvain Benoît & Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Christophe Pérignon, 2013. "A Theoretical and Empirical Comparison of Systemic Risk Measures," Working Papers halshs-00746272, HAL.
    9. Liu, Xiaochun, 2013. "Systemic Risk of Commercial Banks: A Markov-Switching Quantile Autoregression Approach," MPRA Paper 55801, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    12. Saidane, Dhafer & Sène, Babacar & Désiré Kanga, Kouamé, 2021. "Pan-African banks, banking interconnectivity: A new systemic risk measure in the WAEMU," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    13. Acuña, Guillermo, 2014. "Expected Duration as a Leading Index for Systemic Risk," MPRA Paper 76557, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Feb 2017.
    14. Jinjarak, Yothin & Zheng, Huanhuan, 2014. "Granular institutional investors and global market interdependence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 61-81.
    15. Her-Jiun Sheu & Chien-Ling Cheng, 2011. "Systemic risk in Taiwan stock market," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 895-914, August.
    16. Mihai Dorel Vlad, 2016. "Some Considerations Regarding the Implementation of Basel III," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 2(3), pages 96-103, September.
    17. Mauricio Zevallos & Fernanda Villarreal & Carlos Del Carpio & Omar Abbara, 2017. "Metal Prices and International Market Risk in the Peruvian Stock Market," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 40(79), pages 87-104.
    18. Tom Pak Wing Fong & Alfred Yun Tong Wong, 2020. "Safehavenness of the Chinese renminbi," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(2), pages 215-233, August.
    19. Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Gasbarro, Dominic, 2017. "Sovereign default risk linkage: Implication for portfolio diversification," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 1-16.
    20. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2017. "Can stock market investors hedge energy risk? Evidence from Asia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 559-570.
    21. Acedański, Jan & Karkowska, Renata, 2022. "Instability spillovers in the banking sector: A spatial econometrics approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    22. Zhu, Bo & Liu, Jiahao & Lin, Renda & Chevallier, Julien, 2021. "Cross-border systemic risk spillovers in the global oil system: Does the oil trade pattern matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    23. J. W. Muteba Mwamba & Mathias Manguzvane, 2020. "Contagion risk in african sovereign debt markets: A spatial econometrics approach," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 506-536, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign risk; Credit Risk; Value-at-Risk; Systemic Risk; Contagion; Spillover; Tail Risk; Asia Pacific; Quantile Regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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