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Dynamics of energy transitions under changing socioeconomic, technological and climate conditions in Northwest Germany

Author

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  • Ruth, Matthias
  • Özgün, Onur
  • Wachsmuth, Jakob
  • Gößling-Reisemann, Stefan

Abstract

This paper analyzes regional interdependencies and trajectories of the energy and agriculture sectors in Germany's Northwest Metropolitan Region in order to assess the performance of regional low-cost and low-carbon strategies to alter energy sector profiles in the light of changing socioeconomic, technological and climate conditions. Our assessment is based on a dynamic, interactive simulation model for the years 2010 to 2050, which was developed and played out in close collaboration with diverse stakeholder groups in the region. Results from the model and modeling exercises demonstrate the need to increase energy efficiency because the reduction in demand it generates extends the policy space for decreasing emissions and reduces vulnerability to climate change. The results also show the feasibility of expanding renewable energy without heavy reliance on biomass, which currently is an important and contested source of energy in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruth, Matthias & Özgün, Onur & Wachsmuth, Jakob & Gößling-Reisemann, Stefan, 2015. "Dynamics of energy transitions under changing socioeconomic, technological and climate conditions in Northwest Germany," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 29-47.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:111:y:2015:i:c:p:29-47
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.12.025
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wachsmuth, J. & Blohm, A. & Gößling-Reisemann, S. & Eickemeier, T. & Ruth, M. & Gasper, R. & Stührmann, S., 2013. "How will renewable power generation be affected by climate change? The case of a Metropolitan Region in Northwest Germany," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 192-201.
    2. Brand, Fridolin, 2005. "Ecological resilience and its relevance within a theory of sustainable development," UFZ Reports 03/2005, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ).
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    4. Thomas Pregger & Tobias Naegler & Wolfgang Weimer-Jehle & Sigrid Prehofer & Wolfgang Hauser, 2020. "Moving towards socio-technical scenarios of the German energy transition—lessons learned from integrated energy scenario building," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(4), pages 1743-1762, October.
    5. Witold-Roger Poganietz & Wolfgang Weimer-Jehle, 2020. "Introduction to the special issue ‘Integrated scenario building in energy transition research’," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(4), pages 1699-1704, October.
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    9. Claudia R. Binder & Susan Mühlemeier & Romano Wyss, 2017. "An Indicator-Based Approach for Analyzing the Resilience of Transitions for Energy Regions. Part I: Theoretical and Conceptual Considerations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-18, January.
    10. Weimer-Jehle, Wolfgang & Buchgeister, Jens & Hauser, Wolfgang & Kosow, Hannah & Naegler, Tobias & Poganietz, Witold-Roger & Pregger, Thomas & Prehofer, Sigrid & von Recklinghausen, Andreas & Schippl, , 2016. "Context scenarios and their usage for the construction of socio-technical energy scenarios," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 956-970.
    11. Alexis Kwasinski, 2016. "Quantitative Model and Metrics of Electrical Grids’ Resilience Evaluated at a Power Distribution Level," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-27, February.
    12. Sujeetha Selvakkumaran & Erik O. Ahlgren, 2018. "Model-Based Exploration of Co-Creation Efforts: The Case of Solar Photovoltaics (PV) in Skåne, Sweden," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-23, October.
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