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Cross-region risk spillover between the stock and stock index futures markets under exogenous shocks

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  • Chen, Zhang-HangJian
  • Li, Sai-Ping
  • Cai, Mei-Ling
  • Zhong, Li-Xin
  • Ren, Fei

Abstract

By integrating the stock and futures markets of mainland China and Hong Kong into the same financial system, we explore the cross-region risk spillovers between the stock market and stock index futures market under the impact of exogenous events. We find evidence of significant risk spillovers between the two stock markets, and confirm that exogenous shocks, including the adjustments of regulatory policies of mainland China and 2019 Hong Kong Protest, can significantly affect the volatility spillover across assets and markets. Our findings can potentially help regulators and investors understand the cross-region risk conduction and assess portfolio risk after exogenous event.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Zhang-HangJian & Li, Sai-Ping & Cai, Mei-Ling & Zhong, Li-Xin & Ren, Fei, 2021. "Cross-region risk spillover between the stock and stock index futures markets under exogenous shocks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:58:y:2021:i:c:s1062940821000784
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101451
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Zhang-Hangjian & Chu, Wei-Wei & Gao, Xiang & Koedijk, Kees G. & Xu, Yaping, 2024. "Extreme weather, climate risk, and the lead–lag role of carbon," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    2. Chen, Zhang-HangJian & Ren, Fei & Yang, Ming-Yuan & Lu, Feng-Zhi & Li, Sai-Ping, 2023. "Dynamic lead–lag relationship between Chinese carbon emission trading and stock markets under exogenous shocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 295-305.
    3. Mengli Xia & Zhang-Hangjian Chen & Piao Wang, 2022. "Dynamic Risk Spillover Effect between the Carbon and Stock Markets under the Shocks from Exogenous Events," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-15, December.
    4. Chen, Zhang-HangJian & Zhao, Shou-Yu & Song, Huai-Bing & Yang, Ming-Yuan & Li, Sai-Ping, 2024. "Dynamic volatility spillover relationships between the Chinese carbon and international energy markets from extreme climate shocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 626-645.
    5. Fei Ren & Mei-Ling Cai & Sai-Ping Li & Xiong Xiong & Zhang-HangJian Chen, 2023. "A Multi-market Comparison of the Intraday Lead–Lag Relations Among Stock Index-Based Spot, Futures and Options," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(1), pages 1-28, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cross-regional risk spillovers; Stock index; Stock index futures; Exogenous shocks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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