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Dynamic risk spillovers and portfolio risk management between precious metals and global foreign exchange markets

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  • Mensi, Walid
  • Hammoudeh, Shawkat
  • Rehman, Mobeen Ur
  • Al-Maadid, Alanoud Ali S.
  • Hoon Kang, Sang

Abstract

This study examines portfolio management and risk spillovers between four major precious metals (gold, silver, palladium and platinum) and 20 important U.S. exchange markets. To this end, we employ the multivariate DECO-GARCH model and the spillover index developed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2014, 2016) to examine the spillovers between those metal prices and the exchange rates and design portfolios and hedging strategies using different risk measures. The results show evidence of weak average conditional equicorrelations among the considered markets over time, excluding the turbulent 2008–2010 period. Furthermore, the precious metals (excluding platinum) and the currencies (with the exception of the Australian, Brazilian, Denmark, Euro, Mexican, Norwegian, New Zealand and Swedish currencies) are net receivers of shocks. Finally, the four precious metals provide strong risk and downside risk reductions, underscoring the usefulness of including precious metals in a traditional foreign exchange-dominated portfolio.

Suggested Citation

  • Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Al-Maadid, Alanoud Ali S. & Hoon Kang, Sang, 2020. "Dynamic risk spillovers and portfolio risk management between precious metals and global foreign exchange markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:51:y:2020:i:c:s1062940819301615
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2019.101086
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    14. Ahmed, Shamima & Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Le, Van & Nath, Tamal & Rahman, Molla Ramizur, 2024. "Interconnectedness in the FOREX market during the high inflation regime: A network analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
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    16. Dejan Živkov & Petra Balaban & Boris Kuzman, 2021. "How to combine precious metals with corn in a risk-minimizing two-asset portfolio?," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 67(2), pages 60-69.
    17. Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh, 2022. "Can news-based economic sentiment predict bubbles in precious metal markets?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-29, December.
    18. Ur Rehman, Mobeen & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & El-Nader, Ghaith & Alkhataybeh, Ahmad & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Modelling the quantile cross-coherence between exchange rates: Does the COVID-19 pandemic change the interlinkage structure?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    19. Pablo Agnese & Pedro Garcia del Barrio & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2024. "Precious metal prices: a tale of four US recessions," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 41(5), pages 1012-1022, March.
    20. Shah, Adil Ahmad & Paul, Manas & Bhanja, Niyati & Dar, Arif Billah, 2021. "Dynamics of connectedness across crude oil, precious metals and exchange rate: Evidence from time and frequency domains," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    21. Thai Hung, Ngo & Nguyen, Linh Thi My & Vinh Vo, Xuan, 2022. "Exchange rate volatility connectedness during Covid-19 outbreak: DECO-GARCH and Transfer Entropy approaches," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
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    25. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Chen, Xun-Qi & Lei, Yu-Tian & Wang, Yi-Ran, 2023. "Sustainable finance and blockchain: A systematic review and research agenda," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Precious metals; Currency markets; Spillovers; Hedging;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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