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Cost-effective mortgage modification program to reduce mortgage defaults

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  • Kim, Jiseob
  • Lim, Taejun

Abstract

What is the most cost-effective mortgage modification program to reduce mortgage defaults? To shed light on this question and evaluate the Home Affordable Modication Program (HAMP) initiated in 2009, we present a quantitative model where home-buying households can take out a mortgage loan whose price is endogenously determined to reflect the mortgage contract terms—maturity, per-period payment, and amortization scheme—as well as the default risk. We conduct an experiment in which (i) a series of house price shocks are plugged into the model economy to generate the housing market crash, mirroring the recent financial crisis, and (ii) three alternative government-funded mortgage modification programs, each associated with a change in maturity, per-period payment, or amortization scheme, are introduced and compared. We find that the amortization reschedule is the most cost-effective way of implementing a modification program, followed by the payment reduction and the term extension.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Jiseob & Lim, Taejun, 2021. "Cost-effective mortgage modification program to reduce mortgage defaults," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 220-241.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:96:y:2021:i:c:p:220-241
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.12.030
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mortgage modification; Foreclosure; HAMP;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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