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A general equilibrium, ex-post evaluation of the EU–Chile Free Trade Agreement

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  • Jean, Sébastien
  • Mulder, Nanno
  • Ramos, María Priscila

Abstract

This paper evaluates the impact on the Chilean economy of the EU–Chile Free Trade Agreement, in force since 2003, based on a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The evaluation method, inspired by structural decomposition methods, consists of double calibration of the model, to account for interactions between the agreement's impact and structural change in the Chilean economy. Trade flows are modeled at the detailed product level (six-digit level classification). The agreement is found to be slightly beneficial to Chile's economy on the whole, benefiting mainly unskilled labor, with gains concentrated in few sectors (fruits, wine, fisheries and seafood processing).

Suggested Citation

  • Jean, Sébastien & Mulder, Nanno & Ramos, María Priscila, 2014. "A general equilibrium, ex-post evaluation of the EU–Chile Free Trade Agreement," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 33-45.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:41:y:2014:i:c:p:33-45
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.04.025
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Kenneth Baltzer, 2015. "Institutional and policy adjustments to implement Free Trade Agreements with the European Union: A developing country perspective," WIDER Working Paper Series 127, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Farajzadeh, Zakariya & Zhu, Xueqin & Bakhshoodeh, Mohammad, 2017. "Trade reform in Iran for accession to the World Trade Organization: Analysis of welfare and environmental impacts," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 75-85.
    3. Pei‐Yu Chi & Ting‐Yu Chang & Kuo‐I Chang, 2022. "Evaluating the impact of preferential trade agreement on fishery imports: An application of difference‐in‐differences with matching method," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(1), pages 90-124, January.
    4. Syed Shoyeb Hossain & Huang Delin, 2022. "Measuring economic impact in Korea, Japan, India, China, and ASEAN considering agricultural sectors: a dynamic CGE approach based on GAMS," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(2), pages 571-613, May.
    5. Cáceres Bustamante, Javiera & López Giral, Dorotea & Muñoz Navia, Felipe, 2022. "The Chile-Republic of Korea Free Trade Agreement: a synthetic control assessment," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    6. Jean-Christophe Bureau & Sébastien Jean, 2013. "International Agricultural Trade and Negotiations : Coping with a New Landscape [Commerce et négociations agricoles commerciales: s'ajuster au nouvel environnement]," Working Papers hal-01592099, HAL.
    7. Xiang, Hongjin & Kuang, Yanxiang & Li, Chenhua, 2017. "Impact of the China–Australia FTA on global coal production and trade," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 65-78.
    8. Jeff Ferry & Badri Narayanan Gopalakrishnan & Amanda Mayoral, 2022. "The impact of a U.S.–U.K. free trade agreement on workers: a CGE model with worker displacement," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 57(3), pages 121-138, July.
    9. Jose Luis Castillo Mezarina, 2021. "The impact of free trade agreements in national markets: Evidence from the telecommunications sector in Latin America," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(4), pages 860-903, September.
    10. Chunding Li & Xin Lin & John Whalley, 2020. "Comparing Alternative China and US Arrangements with CPTPP," NBER Working Papers 26877, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Li, Chunding & Wang, Jing & Whalley, John, 2016. "Impact of mega trade deals on China: A computational general equilibrium analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 13-25.
    12. Yin, Hua & Du, Zaichao & Zhang, Lin, 2018. "Assessing the gains and vulnerability of free trade: A counterfactual analysis of Macau," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 147-158.
    13. Abbassi, Abdessalem & Tamini, Lota D. & Dakhlaoui, Ahlem, 2015. "Import quota allocation between regions under Cournot competition," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 484-490.
    14. World Bank, 2016. "Moldova Trade Study," World Bank Publications - Reports 24043, The World Bank Group.
    15. Kenneth Baltzer, 2015. "Institutional and policy adjustments to implement Free Trade Agreements with the European Union: A developing country perspective," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2015-127, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    16. Roberto Alvarez & Eugenia Andreasen, 2024. "Exploring the Effects of FTAs on Chilean Exports: Heterogeneous responses and Financial Constraints," Working Papers wp555, University of Chile, Department of Economics.

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