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A dynamic duopoly model with bounded rationality based on constant conjectural variation

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  • Yu, Weisheng
  • Yu, Yu

Abstract

In this paper, we construct dynamic models on the basis of constant conjectural variation. Duopolists with dynamic adjustment behavior of bounded rationality have been considered. Numerical simulation is used to illustrate the complexion of models. The existence of equilibrium points and their stability in this nonlinear system are discussed. We study two special cases of symmetry model and Bertrand model with conjectural variation. When the speed of output adjustment changes, a series of complex phenomena including bifurcation, chaos and strange attractors can be observed in our models. We also analyzed the importance of the initial conditions to the system that a tiny variation of the initial value will cause dramatic fluctuations in output.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu, Weisheng & Yu, Yu, 2014. "A dynamic duopoly model with bounded rationality based on constant conjectural variation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 103-112.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:37:y:2014:i:c:p:103-112
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.10.034
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Agiza, H.N. & Elsadany, A.A., 2003. "Nonlinear dynamics in the Cournot duopoly game with heterogeneous players," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 320(C), pages 512-524.
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    4. Zhang, Jixiang & Da, Qingli & Wang, Yanhua, 2009. "The dynamics of Bertrand model with bounded rationality," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 2048-2055.
    5. Zhang, Jixiang & Da, Qingli & Wang, Yanhua, 2007. "Analysis of nonlinear duopoly game with heterogeneous players," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 138-148, January.
    6. Nabih Agiza, Hamdy & Italo Bischi, Gian & Kopel, Michael, 1999. "Multistability in a dynamic Cournot game with three oligopolists," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 63-90.
    7. Onozaki, Tamotsu & Sieg, Gernot & Yokoo, Masanori, 2003. "Stability, chaos and multiple attractors: a single agent makes a difference," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(10), pages 1917-1938, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Yan & Wang, Lidong, 2019. "Chaos in a duopoly model of technological innovation with bounded rationality based on constant conjectural variation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 116-126.
    2. Shi, Lian & Sheng, Zhaohan & Xu, Feng, 2015. "The dynamics of competition in remanufacturing: A stability analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 245-253.
    3. Li, Hui & He, Ruichun & Zhou, Wei, 2022. "Dynamic behaviors in a Cournot duopoly model with knowledge spillover effect based on constant conjectural variation," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 201(C), pages 305-323.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Conjectural variation; Bounded rationality; Bifurcation; Chaos;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games
    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory

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