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Re-examining the migration–trade link using province data: An application of the generalized propensity score

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  • Serrano-Domingo, Guadalupe
  • Requena-Silvente, Francisco

Abstract

The migration–trade link has been studied extensively since the mid nineties, finding a positive impact through different channels. Based on the generalized propensity score (GPS) methodology, we estimate a dose–response function, depicting a non-linear impact of immigration on exports using province data for Spain and Italy. For both countries the response of province exports to more immigrants from a given nationality is always positive, although varies with the level of immigrants. First we find neither minimum threshold nor exhaustion point in the effectiveness of the immigration networks on province exports. Second we find that the value of the potential bilateral exports reaches a maximum in relatively small ethnic networks: between 70 and 100 foreign-born people of the same nationality. From a socio-economic policy perspective our results support local policies encouraging ethnic diversity in order to stimulate external trade.

Suggested Citation

  • Serrano-Domingo, Guadalupe & Requena-Silvente, Francisco, 2013. "Re-examining the migration–trade link using province data: An application of the generalized propensity score," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 247-261.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:32:y:2013:i:c:p:247-261
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.02.002
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    2. Rosmaiza Abdul Ghani & Michael P. Cameron & William Cochrane & Matthew Roskruge, 2020. "The Causal Impact of Trade on Migration: A Gravity Model Estimation," Working Papers in Economics 20/01, University of Waikato.
    3. Michael Good, 2013. "Geographic Proximity and the Pro-trade Effect of Migration: State-level Evidence from Mexican Migrants in the United States," 2013 Papers pgo530, Job Market Papers.
    4. Mahama, T.A.-K. & Maharjan, K.L. & Issahaku, Z.A., 2018. "An analysis of Maize Yield Response to Agrochemical Expenditure using the Generalized Propensity Score (GPS) matching approach," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277072, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    5. Riccardo Fiorentini & Alina Verashchagina, 2017. "Immigration and Trade: The Case Study of Veneto Region in Italy," Working Papers 03/2017, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    6. Emiliano Magrini & Pierluigi Montalbano & Silvia Nenci & Luca Salvatici, 2017. "Agricultural (Dis)Incentives and Food Security: Is There a Link?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 99(4), pages 847-871.
    7. Rosmaiza A. Ghani & Michael P. Cameron & William Cochrane & Matthew Roskruge, 2019. "A Gravity Model Estimation of the Bi-Directional Relationship between International Trade and Migration," Working Papers in Economics 19/02, University of Waikato.
    8. Nenci, Silvia & Vurchio, Davide, 2023. "Modeling country-sectoral spillovers in generalized propensity score matching: An empirical test on trade data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    9. Emiliano Magrini & Pierluigi Montalbano & Silvia Nenci, 2013. "Are the EU trade preferences really effective? A Generalized Propensity Score evaluation of the Southern Mediterranean Countries' case in agriculture and fishery," Working Papers 2/13, Sapienza University of Rome, DISS.
    10. Mehdi Chowdhury & Dragana Radicic, 2019. "Remittances and Asset Accumulation in Bangladesh: A Study Using Generalised Propensity Score," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), pages 475-494, August.
    11. Emiliano Magrini & Pierluigi Montalbano & Silvia Nenci & Luca Salvatici, 2014. "Agricultural Trade Policies and Food Security: Is there a Causal Relationship?," Working Papers 9/14, Sapienza University of Rome, DISS.
    12. d'Agostino, Giorgio & Pieroni, Luca & Scarlato, Margherita, 2018. "Evaluating the effects of labour market reforms on job flows: The Italian case," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 178-189.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Immigration; Exports; Generalized propensity score; Dose–response function; Spanish provinces; Italian provinces;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration

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