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Real option analysis for effects of emission permit banking on investment under abatement cost uncertainty

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  • Park, Hojeong

Abstract

The present paper analyzes the investment effects of emission trading scheme (ETS) when emission permits are bankable and there is technological uncertainty with regard to the abatement cost. A real option model is employed to accommodate irreversibility of investment and cost uncertainty. In the absence of abatement cost uncertainty, a bankable ETS reduces a firm's incentive for environmental investment, because the firm can utilize the banked permits for future compliance which act as substitutes for abatement investment. However, when cost uncertainty is prevalent, investment may reduce the opportunity cost of irreversible investment under the banking system, thereby increasing a firm's investment incentive. The condition is derived under which a bankable ETS provides higher investment incentives than a non-bankable ETS does.

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  • Park, Hojeong, 2012. "Real option analysis for effects of emission permit banking on investment under abatement cost uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1314-1321.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:29:y:2012:i:4:p:1314-1321
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.04.012
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    Cited by:

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    2. Carmen Schiel & Simon Glöser-Chahoud & Frank Schultmann, 2019. "A real option application for emission control measures," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 89(3), pages 291-325, April.
    3. Lee, Jaehyung & Jang, Heesun, 2022. "A real options study on cook stove CDM project under emission allowance price uncertainty," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Emission permit; Banking; Real option; Investment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • Q52 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Pollution Control Adoption and Costs; Distributional Effects; Employment Effects

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