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The effects of fiscal policy on economic activity in Finland

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  • Kuismanen, Mika
  • Kämppi, Ville

Abstract

This study analyzes whether fiscal policy decisions have real effects on the economy of Finland, and if they do, what are the strength and durations of the effects. We utilise the Vector Stochastic Process with Dummy Variables (VSPD) method in our empirical work. This approach is a suitable tool to study event-based episodes. Fiscal policy shocks do have an effect on the economic activity of Finland when the time period 1990-2007 is investigated. A positive tax shock (or a policy that increases public sector revenues) seems to have a positive effect on Investment and GDP but the response of private consumption is mixed. Results clearly indicate that increase in Government spending crowds out private sector activity, and the effect takes place sooner than with the Revenue variable in question. This is a clear evidence for the crowding out effect.

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  • Kuismanen, Mika & Kämppi, Ville, 2010. "The effects of fiscal policy on economic activity in Finland," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 1315-1323, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:27:y:2010:i:5:p:1315-1323
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    1. Swati Yadav & V. Upadhyay & Seema Sharma, 2012. "Impact of Fiscal Policy Shocks on the Indian Economy," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 6(4), pages 415-444, November.
    2. Maria Th. Kasselaki & Athanasios O. Tagkalakis, 2016. "Fiscal policy and private investment in Greece," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 147, pages 53-106.
    3. Şen, Hüseyin & Kaya, Ayşe, 2015. "Growth enhancing effect of discretionary fiscal policy shocks: Keynesian, Weak Keynesian or Non-Keynesian?," MPRA Paper 65976, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Aug 2015.
    4. Mihai Ioan Mutaşcu & Dan Constantin Dănuleţiu, 2011. "Taxes And Economic Growth In Romania. A Var Approach," Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, Faculty of Sciences, "1 Decembrie 1918" University, Alba Iulia, vol. 1(13), pages 1-10.
    5. Hong, Law Chee, 2016. "Sectoral Impact of Fiscal Policy in Malaysia," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 50(1), pages 81-98.
    6. Markku Lehmus, 2015. "Finnish fiscal multipliers with a structural VAR model," Working Papers 293, Työn ja talouden tutkimus LABORE, The Labour Institute for Economic Research LABORE.
    7. Fornaro, Paolo & Luomaranta, Henri, 2018. "Aggregate fluctuations and the effect of large corporations: Evidence from Finnish monthly data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 245-258.
    8. Huang, Xun & Zhang, Chengzhao, 2024. "What explains the recovery speed of financial markets from banking crises?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).

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