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It's all the miners' fault: On the nonlinearity in U.S. unemployment rates

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  • Yoon, Gawon

Abstract

The U.S. unemployment rate is generally regarded as nonlinear. In this study, we show that if there had been no miners' general strike in October of 1949, and if the aggregate unemployment rate had been 0.3% lower during that month, the 1948-2002 U.S. unemployment rate would have been linear. Hence, just a single alteration of past events would have resulted in significantly different findings regarding the linearity in the U.S. unemployment rate. This finding illustrates a need for linearity tests to be developed that are robust against the effects of outliers.

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  • Yoon, Gawon, 2009. "It's all the miners' fault: On the nonlinearity in U.S. unemployment rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1449-1454, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:26:y:2009:i:6:p:1449-1454
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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammed TIRAŞOĞLU, 2019. "Unemployment hysteresis analysis for OECD countries," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(4(621), W), pages 53-62, Winter.
    2. Khraief, Naceur & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Heshmati, Almas & Azam, Muhammad, 2020. "Are unemployment rates in OECD countries stationary? Evidence from univariate and panel unit root tests," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    3. repec:agr:journl:v:4(621):y:2019:i:4(621):p:53-62 is not listed on IDEAS

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