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An asymmetric approach to the oil prices-trade balance nexus: New evidence from bilateral trade between Korea and her 14 trading partners

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  • Baek, Jungho

Abstract

Although the literature on the relationship between oil prices and the trade balance exists, relatively little attention has been given to the asymmetric effects of oil prices on the trade balance at a bilateral level. Thus, the primary thrust of this paper is to probe the asymmetric influences of oil price fluctuations on the bilateral trade balance between Korea and each of her 14 largest trading partners. To this end, we use the method of the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL). We discover that there is evidence that ups and downs of oil prices appear to asymmetrically impacts Korea’s trade with some trading partners, though not all, in the long- and short-run.

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  • Baek, Jungho, 2020. "An asymmetric approach to the oil prices-trade balance nexus: New evidence from bilateral trade between Korea and her 14 trading partners," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 199-209.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:68:y:2020:i:c:p:199-209
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2020.09.013
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    Cited by:

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    6. Baek, Jungho & Yoon, Jee Hee, 2023. "Shocks of crude oil prices and world trade policy uncertainty: How much do they matter for China’s trade balance with its three largest partners?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 914-921.
    7. Liurong Pan & Asad Amin & Nian Zhu & Abbas Ali Chandio & Eric Yaw Naminse & Aadil Hameed Shah, 2022. "Exploring the Asymmetrical Influence of Economic Growth, Oil Price, Consumer Price Index and Industrial Production on the Trade Deficit in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-22, November.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymmetric effect; Balance of trade; Korea; NARDL; Oil prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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