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Monetary Policy with a State-Dependent Inflation Target in a Behavioral Two-Country Monetary Union Model

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  • Proaño, Christian R.
  • Lojak, Benjamin

Abstract

In this paper we study the implementation of a state-dependent inflation target in a two-country monetary union model characterized by boundedly rational agents. In particular, we use the spread between the actual policy rate (which is constrained by the zero-lower-bound) and the Taylor rate (which can become negative) as a measure for the degree of ineffectiveness of conventional monetary policy as a stabilizing mechanism. The perception of macroeconomic risk by the agents is assumed to vary according to this measure by means of the Brock-Hommes switching mechanism. Our numerical simulations indicate a) that a state-dependent inflation target may lead to a better macroeconomic and inflation stabilization, and b) may even lead to an enlarged fiscal space, i.e. a lower debt-to-GDP ratio if the risk premium’s reaction to a higher inflation target is not too large.

Suggested Citation

  • Proaño, Christian R. & Lojak, Benjamin, 2021. "Monetary Policy with a State-Dependent Inflation Target in a Behavioral Two-Country Monetary Union Model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:133:y:2021:i:c:s0165188921001718
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104236
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary Policy; Monetary Unions; Zero Lower Bound; Inflation Targets; Behavioral Macroeconomics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E7 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macro-Based Behavioral Economics
    • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration

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