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Optimal execution with regime-switching market resilience

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  • Siu, Chi Chung
  • Guo, Ivan
  • Zhu, Song-Ping
  • Elliott, Robert J.

Abstract

In this paper, we study the optimal placement of market orders in a limit order book (LOB) market when the market resilience rate, which is the rate at which market replenishes itself after each trade, is stochastic. More specifically, we establish a tractable extension to the optimal execution model in Obizhaeva and Wang (2013) by modelling the dynamics of the resilience rate to be driven by a Markov chain. When the LOB replenishes itself stochastically through time, the optimal execution strategy becomes state-dependent, and is driven linearly by the current remaining position and the current temporary price impact, with their linear dependence based on the expectation of the dynamics of future resilience rate. A trader would optimally place more aggressive (respectively, conservative) market orders when the limit order book switches from a low to a high resilience state, (respectively, from a high to a low resilience state). Our cost saving analysis indicates that the incremental execution costs can be substantial when the agent ignores the stochastic dynamics of the market resilience rate by adopting the state-independent strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Siu, Chi Chung & Guo, Ivan & Zhu, Song-Ping & Elliott, Robert J., 2019. "Optimal execution with regime-switching market resilience," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 17-40.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:101:y:2019:i:c:p:17-40
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.01.006
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    Cited by:

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    2. Jean-Pierre Fouque & Sebastian Jaimungal & Yuri F. Saporito, 2021. "Optimal Trading with Signals and Stochastic Price Impact," Papers 2101.10053, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    3. Da Fonseca, José & Malevergne, Yannick, 2021. "A simple microstructure model based on the Cox-BESQ process with application to optimal execution policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    4. Olbrys, Joanna & Mursztyn, Michal, 2019. "Estimation of intraday stock market resiliency: Short-Time Fourier Transform approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    5. Yan, Tingjin & Chiu, Mei Choi & Wong, Hoi Ying, 2023. "Portfolio liquidation with delayed information," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    6. Junrong Liu & Zhiping Chen & Qihong Duan, 2024. "Automation of the Individualized Investing Strategy for an Investment Advisor Established by a Semi-Markov Regime-Switching Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(6), pages 2351-2370, June.
    7. David Evangelista & Yuri Thamsten, 2023. "Approximately optimal trade execution strategies under fast mean-reversion," Papers 2307.07024, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.

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