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Robust model selection with flexible trimming

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  • Riani, Marco
  • Atkinson, Anthony C.

Abstract

The forward search provides data-driven flexible trimming of a Cp statistic for the choice of regression models that reveals the effect of outliers on model selection. An informed robust model choice follows. Even in small samples, the statistic has a null distribution indistinguishable from an F distribution. Limits on acceptable values of the Cp statistic follow. Two examples of widely differing size are discussed. A powerful graphical tool is the generalized candlestick plot, which summarizes the information on all forward searches and on the choice of models. A comparison is made with the use of M-estimation in robust model choice.

Suggested Citation

  • Riani, Marco & Atkinson, Anthony C., 2010. "Robust model selection with flexible trimming," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(12), pages 3300-3312, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:54:y:2010:i:12:p:3300-3312
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Søren Johansen & Marco Riani & Anthony C. Atkinson, 2012. "The Selection of ARIMA Models with or without Regressors," Discussion Papers 12-17, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    2. Francesca Torti & Aldo Corbellini & Anthony C. Atkinson, 2021. "fsdaSAS: A Package for Robust Regression for Very Large Datasets Including the Batch Forward Search," Stats, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-21, April.
    3. Torti, Francesca & Corbellini, Aldo & Atkinson, Anthony C., 2021. "fsdaSAS: a package for robust regression for very large datasets including the batch forward search," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 109895, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Andrea Cerioli & Marco Riani & Anthony C. Atkinson & Aldo Corbellini, 2018. "Rejoinder to the discussion of “The power of monitoring: how to make the most of a contaminated multivariate sample”," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 27(4), pages 661-666, December.
    5. Andreas Alfons & Wolfgang Baaske & Peter Filzmoser & Wolfgang Mader & Roland Wieser, 2011. "Robust variable selection with application to quality of life research," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 20(1), pages 65-82, March.
    6. Anwar, Sajid & Sun, Sizhong, 2012. "Trade liberalisation, market competition and wage inequality in China's manufacturing sector," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1268-1277.
    7. Christian Hennig & Willi Sauerbrei, 2019. "Exploration of the variability of variable selection based on distances between bootstrap sample results," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 13(4), pages 933-963, December.

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