IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/csdana/v150y2020ics0167947320300992.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Inferring time non-homogeneous Ornstein Uhlenbeck type stochastic process

Author

Listed:
  • Albano, G.
  • Giorno, V.

Abstract

A generalization of the classical Ornstein Uhlenbeck diffusion process including some deterministic time dependent functions in the infinitesimal moments is considered. The inference based on discrete sampling in time is provided by means of an iterative procedure that, in each step, combines the classical maximum likelihood estimation and a generalized method of moments. The validity of the suggested procedure is evaluated via a simulation study by considering several infinitesimal moments for the Ornstein Uhlenbeck type process and taking different sample size. Finally, an application to PM10 daily concentration in Turin metropolitan area in Italy is discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Albano, G. & Giorno, V., 2020. "Inferring time non-homogeneous Ornstein Uhlenbeck type stochastic process," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:150:y:2020:i:c:s0167947320300992
    DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2020.107008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167947320300992
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.csda.2020.107008?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Albano, Giuseppina & Giorno, Virginia & Román-Román, Patricia & Torres-Ruiz, Francisco, 2012. "Inference on a stochastic two-compartment model in tumor growth," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 1723-1736.
    2. Giorno, Virginia & Román-Román, Patricia & Spina, Serena & Torres-Ruiz, Francisco, 2017. "Estimating a non-homogeneous Gompertz process with jumps as model of tumor dynamics," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 18-31.
    3. Giuseppina Albano & Michele La Rocca & Cira Perna, 2019. "Small sample properties of ML estimator in Vasicek and CIR models: a simulation experiment," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 42(1), pages 5-19, June.
    4. Nafidi, A. & Gutiérrez, R. & Gutiérrez-Sánchez, R. & Ramos-Ábalos, E. & El Hachimi, S., 2016. "Modelling and predicting electricity consumption in Spain using the stochastic Gamma diffusion process with exogenous factors," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 309-318.
    5. Yacine Ait-Sahalia, 2002. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Discretely Sampled Diffusions: A Closed-form Approximation Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(1), pages 223-262, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. D'Auria, Bernardo & Guada, Abel, 2021. "Some results on optimally exercising American put options for time-inhomogeneous processes," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 33130, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    2. Ahmed Nafidi & Abdenbi El Azri & Ramón Gutiérrez-Sánchez, 2023. "A Stochastic Schumacher Diffusion Process: Probability Characteristics Computation and Statistical Analysis," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 1-15, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ben Tims & Ronald Mahieu, 2006. "A Range-Based Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Model for Exchange Rates," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2-3), pages 409-424.
    2. Varughese, Melvin M., 2013. "Parameter estimation for multivariate diffusion systems," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 417-428.
    3. Giorno, Virginia & Román-Román, Patricia & Spina, Serena & Torres-Ruiz, Francisco, 2017. "Estimating a non-homogeneous Gompertz process with jumps as model of tumor dynamics," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 18-31.
    4. Corradi, Valentina & Swanson, Norman R., 2005. "Bootstrap specification tests for diffusion processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 117-148, January.
    5. Georg Mosburger & Paul Schneider, 2005. "Modelling International Bond Markets with Affine Term Structure Models," Finance 0509003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Gutiérrez, R. & Gutiérrez-Sánchez, R. & Nafidi, A., 2009. "The trend of the total stock of the private car-petrol in Spain: Stochastic modelling using a new gamma diffusion process," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 18-24, January.
    7. Wang, Xiaohu & Phillips, Peter C.B. & Yu, Jun, 2011. "Bias in estimating multivariate and univariate diffusions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 228-245, April.
    8. Hermann Singer, 2011. "Continuous-discrete state-space modeling of panel data with nonlinear filter algorithms," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 95(4), pages 375-413, December.
    9. Zhang, Pu & Xiao, Wei-lin & Zhang, Xi-li & Niu, Pan-qiang, 2014. "Parameter identification for fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes based on discrete observation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 198-203.
    10. Ren, Panpan & Wu, Jiang-Lun, 2021. "Least squares estimation for path-distribution dependent stochastic differential equations," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 410(C).
    11. Davide Raggi & Silvano Bordignon, 2011. "Volatility, Jumps, and Predictability of Returns: A Sequential Analysis," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 669-695.
    12. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Kimmel, Robert L., 2010. "Estimating affine multifactor term structure models using closed-form likelihood expansions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 113-144, October.
    13. Sangyeol Lee & Junmo Song, 2013. "Minimum density power divergence estimator for diffusion processes," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 65(2), pages 213-236, April.
    14. Mark Trede & Bernd Wilfling, 2007. "Estimating exchange rate dynamics with diffusion processes: an application to Greek EMU data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 23-39, July.
    15. Ahmed Nafidi & Ghizlane Moutabir & Ramón Gutiérrez-Sánchez & Eva Ramos-Ábalos, 2020. "Stochastic Square of the Brennan-Schwartz Diffusion Process: Statistical Computation and Application," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 455-476, June.
    16. Cai, Lili & Swanson, Norman R., 2011. "In- and out-of-sample specification analysis of spot rate models: Further evidence for the period 1982-2008," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 743-764, September.
    17. Chen, Songxi & Peng, Liang & Yu, Cindy, 2013. "Parameter Estimation and Model Testing for Markov Processes via Conditional Characteristic Functions," MPRA Paper 46273, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Alfonso A. Irarrazabal & Lin Ma & Juan Carlos Parra-Alvarez, 2023. "Optimal asset allocation for commodity sovereign wealth funds," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 471-495, March.
    19. Xanthi Pedeli & Anthony C. Davison & Konstantinos Fokianos, 2015. "Likelihood Estimation for the INAR( p ) Model by Saddlepoint Approximation," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(511), pages 1229-1238, September.
    20. Chernov, Mikhail & Ronald Gallant, A. & Ghysels, Eric & Tauchen, George, 2003. "Alternative models for stock price dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1-2), pages 225-257.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:150:y:2020:i:c:s0167947320300992. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/csda .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.