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The effect of time delay on the dynamics of an SEIR model with nonlinear incidence

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  • Tipsri, S.
  • Chinviriyasit, W.

Abstract

In this paper, a SEIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate and time delay is investigated in three cases. The local stability of an endemic equilibrium and a disease-free equilibrium are discussed using stability theory of delay differential equations. The conditions that guarantee the asymptotic stability of corresponding steady-states are investigated. The results show that the introduction of a time delay in the transmission term can destabilize the system and periodic solutions can arise through Hopf bifurcation when using the time delay as a bifurcation parameter. Applying the normal form theory and center manifold argument, the explicit formulas determining the properties of the bifurcating periodic solution are derived. In addition, the effect of the inhibitory effect on the properties of the bifurcating periodic solutions is studied. Numerical simulations are provided in order to illustrate the theoretical results and to gain further insight into the behaviors of delayed systems.

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  • Tipsri, S. & Chinviriyasit, W., 2015. "The effect of time delay on the dynamics of an SEIR model with nonlinear incidence," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 153-172.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:75:y:2015:i:c:p:153-172
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2015.02.017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gakkhar, Sunita & Negi, Kuldeep, 2008. "Pulse vaccination in SIRS epidemic model with non-monotonic incidence rate," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 626-638.
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    4. Xu, Rui & Ma, Zhien, 2009. "Stability of a delayed SIRS epidemic model with a nonlinear incidence rate," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 41(5), pages 2319-2325.
    5. Liu, Junli & Zhou, Yicang, 2009. "Global stability of an SIRS epidemic model with transport-related infection," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 145-158.
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    7. Xu, Rui, 2012. "Global dynamics of an SEIS epidemiological model with time delay describing a latent period," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 90-102.
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    Cited by:

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    3. Xu, Rui & Wang, Zhili & Zhang, Fengqin, 2015. "Global stability and Hopf bifurcations of an SEIR epidemiological model with logistic growth and time delay," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 269(C), pages 332-342.
    4. Hu, Qing & Hu, Zhixing & Liao, Fucheng, 2016. "Stability and Hopf bifurcation in a HIV-1 infection model with delays and logistic growth," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 26-41.
    5. Hyukpyo Hong & Eunjin Eom & Hyojung Lee & Sunhwa Choi & Boseung Choi & Jae Kyoung Kim, 2024. "Overcoming bias in estimating epidemiological parameters with realistic history-dependent disease spread dynamics," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.

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