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Effective transfer entropy approach to information flow between exchange rates and stock markets

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  • Sensoy, Ahmet
  • Sobaci, Cihat
  • Sensoy, Sadri
  • Alali, Fatih

Abstract

We investigate the strength and direction of information flow between exchange rates and stock prices in several emerging countries by the novel concept of effective transfer entropy (an alternative non-linear causality measure) with symbolic encoding methodology. Analysis shows that before the 2008 crisis, only low level interaction exists between these two variables and exchange rates dominate stock prices in general. During crisis, strong bidirectional interaction arises. In the post-crisis period, the strong interaction continues to exist and in general stock prices dominate exchange rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Sensoy, Ahmet & Sobaci, Cihat & Sensoy, Sadri & Alali, Fatih, 2014. "Effective transfer entropy approach to information flow between exchange rates and stock markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 180-185.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:68:y:2014:i:c:p:180-185
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2014.08.007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    11. Jale, Jader S. & Júnior, Sílvio F.A.X. & Stošić, Tatijana & Stošić, Borko & Ferreira, Tiago A.E., 2019. "Information flow between Ibovespa and constituent companies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 233-239.
    12. Argentiero, Amedeo & Bovi, Maurizio & Cerqueti, Roy, 2016. "Bayesian estimation and entropy for economic dynamic stochastic models: An exploration of overconsumption," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 143-157.
    13. Storhas, Dominik P. & De Mello, Lurion & Singh, Abhay Kumar, 2020. "Multiscale lead-lag relationships in oil and refined product return dynamics: A symbolic wavelet transfer entropy approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    14. Nicoló Andrea Caserini & Paolo Pagnottoni, 2022. "Effective transfer entropy to measure information flows in credit markets," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 31(4), pages 729-757, October.
    15. Gu, Danlei & Lin, Aijing & Lin, Guancen, 2022. "Sleep and cardiac signal processing using improved multivariate partial compensated transfer entropy based on non-uniform embedding," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    16. Zhang, Jinren & Cao, Jinde & Wu, Tao & Huang, Wei & Ma, Tao & Zhou, Xinye, 2023. "A novel adaptive multi-scale Rényi transfer entropy based on kernel density estimation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 175(P1).
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