IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v145y2021ics0960077921001284.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Artificial macro-economics: A chaotic discrete-time fractional-order laboratory model

Author

Listed:
  • Chu, Yu-Ming
  • Bekiros, Stelios
  • Zambrano-Serrano, Ernesto
  • Orozco-López, Onofre
  • Lahmiri, Salim
  • Jahanshahi, Hadi
  • Aly, Ayman A.

Abstract

In this novel research, through dynamical analysis, we introduce for the first time a fractional-calculus based artificial macroeconomic model, actually implemented in the Laboratory via a new hardware set up. Firstly, we propose a new model of a discrete-time macroeconomic system where fractional derivatives are incorporated into the system of equations. Using well-known tools and methods, including bifurcation diagrams and Lyapunov exponents, the characteristics of the system are disclosed, and the importance of the fractional-order derivative in the modeling of the system is shown. After that, a laboratory hardware realization is also carried out for the proposed system that provides further insight and a better understanding of the properties of the system. For the hardware realization an Arduino Due™ is chosen in which possess two analog output pins. Experimental results conspicuously illustrate the chaotic behavior of the system. Through the results of the hardware realization, phase portraits and bifurcation diagram of the system are demonstrated, and the effects of the parameters and fractional derivatives are studied. We believe the presented study and its results pave the way for future studies on the incorporation of fractional calculus into macroeconomic models.

Suggested Citation

  • Chu, Yu-Ming & Bekiros, Stelios & Zambrano-Serrano, Ernesto & Orozco-López, Onofre & Lahmiri, Salim & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Aly, Ayman A., 2021. "Artificial macro-economics: A chaotic discrete-time fractional-order laboratory model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:145:y:2021:i:c:s0960077921001284
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.110776
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077921001284
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.110776?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. A G Haldane & A E Turrell, 2018. "An interdisciplinary model for macroeconomics," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 34(1-2), pages 219-251.
    2. Tarasov, Vasily E. & Tarasova, Valentina V., 2018. "Macroeconomic models with long dynamic memory: Fractional calculus approach," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 338(C), pages 466-486.
    3. Scalas, Enrico & Gorenflo, Rudolf & Mainardi, Francesco, 2000. "Fractional calculus and continuous-time finance," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 284(1), pages 376-384.
    4. Wang, Shaojie & He, Shaobo & Yousefpour, Amin & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Repnik, Robert & Perc, Matjaž, 2020. "Chaos and complexity in a fractional-order financial system with time delays," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    5. Masson, Paul, 1999. "Contagion:: macroeconomic models with multiple equilibria," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 587-602, August.
    6. Fontana, Giuseppe & Veronese Passarella, Marco, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policies from conventional theories: Modern lessons for central bankers," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 503-519.
    7. Volker Wieland & Maik Wolters, 2011. "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 47(2), pages 247-292, June.
    8. Huang, Chengdai & Cao, Jinde, 2017. "Active control strategy for synchronization and anti-synchronization of a fractional chaotic financial system," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 473(C), pages 262-275.
    9. Jahanshahi, Hadi & Yousefpour, Amin & Munoz-Pacheco, Jesus M. & Kacar, Sezgin & Pham, Viet-Thanh & Alsaadi, Fawaz E., 2020. "A new fractional-order hyperchaotic memristor oscillator: Dynamic analysis, robust adaptive synchronization, and its application to voice encryption," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 383(C).
    10. Yousefpour, Amin & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Bekiros, Stelios, 2020. "Optimal policies for control of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    11. Jahanshahi, Hadi & Yousefpour, Amin & Wei, Zhouchao & Alcaraz, Raúl & Bekiros, Stelios, 2019. "A financial hyperchaotic system with coexisting attractors: Dynamic investigation, entropy analysis, control and synchronization," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 66-77.
    12. O.Y. Voronkova & А.M. Zadimidcenko & L.V. Goloshchapova & A.G. Polyakova & S.G. Kamolov & E.M. Akhmetshin, 2018. "Economic and Mathematical Modeling of Regional Industrial Processes," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 268-279.
    13. Wieland, Volker & Cwik, Tobias & Müller, Gernot J. & Schmidt, Sebastian & Wolters, Maik, 2012. "A new comparative approach to macroeconomic modeling and policy analysis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 523-541.
    14. Soradi-Zeid, Samaneh & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Yousefpour, Amin & Bekiros, Stelios, 2020. "King algorithm: A novel optimization approach based on variable-order fractional calculus with application in chaotic financial systems," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    15. Mainardi, Francesco & Raberto, Marco & Gorenflo, Rudolf & Scalas, Enrico, 2000. "Fractional calculus and continuous-time finance II: the waiting-time distribution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 287(3), pages 468-481.
    16. Puu, Tonu, 1986. "Multiplier-accelerator models revisited," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 81-95, February.
    17. Olivier Blanchard, 2018. "On the future of macroeconomic models," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 34(1-2), pages 43-54.
    18. Yousefpour, Amin & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Munoz-Pacheco, Jesus M. & Bekiros, Stelios & Wei, Zhouchao, 2020. "A fractional-order hyper-chaotic economic system with transient chaos," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    19. Wang, Shaojie & Bekiros, Stelios & Yousefpour, Amin & He, Shaobo & Castillo, Oscar & Jahanshahi, Hadi, 2020. "Synchronization of fractional time-delayed financial system using a novel type-2 fuzzy active control method," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    20. Chen, Shu-Bo & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Alhadji Abba, Oumate & Solís-Pérez, J.E. & Bekiros, Stelios & Gómez-Aguilar, J.F. & Yousefpour, Amin & Chu, Yu-Ming, 2020. "The effect of market confidence on a financial system from the perspective of fractional calculus: Numerical investigation and circuit realization," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Yupin & Li, Xiaodi & Wang, Da & Liu, Shutang, 2022. "A brief note on fractal dynamics of fractional Mandelbrot sets," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 432(C).
    2. Ávalos-Ruíz, L.F. & Zúñiga-Aguilar, C.J. & Gómez-Aguilar, J.F. & Cortes-Campos, H.M. & Lavín-Delgado, J.E., 2023. "A RGB image encryption technique using chaotic maps of fractional variable-order based on DNA encoding," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    3. Qing Ding & Oumate Alhadji Abba & Hadi Jahanshahi & Madini O. Alassafi & Wen-Hua Huang, 2022. "Dynamical Investigation, Electronic Circuit Realization and Emulation of a Fractional-Order Chaotic Three-Echelon Supply Chain System," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-15, February.
    4. Wang, Bo & Liu, Jinping & Alassafi, Madini O. & Alsaadi, Fawaz E. & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Bekiros, Stelios, 2022. "Intelligent parameter identification and prediction of variable time fractional derivative and application in a symmetric chaotic financial system," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    5. Bekiros, Stelios & Yao, Qijia & Mou, Jun & Alkhateeb, Abdulhameed F. & Jahanshahi, Hadi, 2023. "Adaptive fixed-time robust control for function projective synchronization of hyperchaotic economic systems with external perturbations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    6. Zhenggang Guo & Junjie Wen & Jun Mou, 2022. "Dynamic Analysis and DSP Implementation of Memristor Chaotic Systems with Multiple Forms of Hidden Attractors," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-13, December.
    7. Zambrano-Serrano, Ernesto & Bekiros, Stelios & Platas-Garza, Miguel A. & Posadas-Castillo, Cornelio & Agarwal, Praveen & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Aly, Ayman A., 2021. "On chaos and projective synchronization of a fractional difference map with no equilibria using a fuzzy-based state feedback control," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 578(C).
    8. Liu, Yang & Chen, Liping & Wu, Xiaobo & Lopes, António M. & Cui, Fengqi & Chen, YangQuan, 2023. "Theoretical analysis and experimental verification of fractional-order RC cobweb circuit network," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhou, Shuang-Shuang & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Din, Qamar & Bekiros, Stelios & Alcaraz, Raúl & Alassafi, Madini O. & Alsaadi, Fawaz E. & Chu, Yu-Ming, 2021. "Discrete-time macroeconomic system: Bifurcation analysis and synchronization using fuzzy-based activation feedback control," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    2. Li, Jun-Feng & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Kacar, Sezgin & Chu, Yu-Ming & Gómez-Aguilar, J.F. & Alotaibi, Naif D. & Alharbi, Khalid H., 2021. "On the variable-order fractional memristor oscillator: Data security applications and synchronization using a type-2 fuzzy disturbance observer-based robust control," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    3. Jahanshahi, Hadi & Sajjadi, Samaneh Sadat & Bekiros, Stelios & Aly, Ayman A., 2021. "On the development of variable-order fractional hyperchaotic economic system with a nonlinear model predictive controller," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    4. Wang, Bo & Liu, Jinping & Alassafi, Madini O. & Alsaadi, Fawaz E. & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Bekiros, Stelios, 2022. "Intelligent parameter identification and prediction of variable time fractional derivative and application in a symmetric chaotic financial system," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    5. Qing Ding & Oumate Alhadji Abba & Hadi Jahanshahi & Madini O. Alassafi & Wen-Hua Huang, 2022. "Dynamical Investigation, Electronic Circuit Realization and Emulation of a Fractional-Order Chaotic Three-Echelon Supply Chain System," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-15, February.
    6. Chen, Shu-Bo & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Alhadji Abba, Oumate & Solís-Pérez, J.E. & Bekiros, Stelios & Gómez-Aguilar, J.F. & Yousefpour, Amin & Chu, Yu-Ming, 2020. "The effect of market confidence on a financial system from the perspective of fractional calculus: Numerical investigation and circuit realization," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    7. Xiong, Pei-Ying & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Alcaraz, Raúl & Chu, Yu-Ming & Gómez-Aguilar, J.F. & Alsaadi, Fawaz E., 2021. "Spectral Entropy Analysis and Synchronization of a Multi-Stable Fractional-Order Chaotic System using a Novel Neural Network-Based Chattering-Free Sliding Mode Technique," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    8. Wang, Yong-Long & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Bekiros, Stelios & Bezzina, Frank & Chu, Yu-Ming & Aly, Ayman A., 2021. "Deep recurrent neural networks with finite-time terminal sliding mode control for a chaotic fractional-order financial system with market confidence," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    9. Zambrano-Serrano, Ernesto & Bekiros, Stelios & Platas-Garza, Miguel A. & Posadas-Castillo, Cornelio & Agarwal, Praveen & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Aly, Ayman A., 2021. "On chaos and projective synchronization of a fractional difference map with no equilibria using a fuzzy-based state feedback control," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 578(C).
    10. Bekiros, Stelios & Jahanshahi, Hadi & Bezzina, Frank & Aly, Ayman A., 2021. "A novel fuzzy mixed H2/H∞ optimal controller for hyperchaotic financial systems," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    11. Shoji, Isao & Nozawa, Masahiro, 2022. "Geometric analysis of nonlinear dynamics in application to financial time series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    12. Bambe Moutsinga, Claude Rodrigue & Pindza, Edson & Maré, Eben, 2021. "Comparative performance of time spectral methods for solving hyperchaotic finance and cryptocurrency systems," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    13. Bekiros, Stelios & Laarem, Guessas & Mou, Jun & Al-Barakati, Abdullah A. & Jahanshahi, Hadi, 2023. "Heterogeneous agent-based modeling of endogenous boom-bust cycles in financial markets with adaptive expectations and dynamically switching fractions between contrarian and fundamental market entry st," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    14. Alsaadi, Fawaz E. & Bekiros, Stelios & Yao, Qijia & Liu, Jinping & Jahanshahi, Hadi, 2023. "Achieving resilient chaos suppression and synchronization of fractional-order supply chains with fault-tolerant control," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    15. Qijia Yao & Hadi Jahanshahi & Larissa M. Batrancea & Naif D. Alotaibi & Mircea-Iosif Rus, 2022. "Fixed-Time Output-Constrained Synchronization of Unknown Chaotic Financial Systems Using Neural Learning," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(19), pages 1-14, October.
    16. Bekiros, Stelios & Yao, Qijia & Mou, Jun & Alkhateeb, Abdulhameed F. & Jahanshahi, Hadi, 2023. "Adaptive fixed-time robust control for function projective synchronization of hyperchaotic economic systems with external perturbations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    17. Jahanshahi, Hadi & Yousefpour, Amin & Munoz-Pacheco, Jesus M. & Kacar, Sezgin & Pham, Viet-Thanh & Alsaadi, Fawaz E., 2020. "A new fractional-order hyperchaotic memristor oscillator: Dynamic analysis, robust adaptive synchronization, and its application to voice encryption," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 383(C).
    18. Shi, Jianping & He, Ke & Fang, Hui, 2022. "Chaos, Hopf bifurcation and control of a fractional-order delay financial system," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 348-364.
    19. Tarasov, Vasily E., 2020. "Fractional econophysics: Market price dynamics with memory effects," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    20. Vasily E. Tarasov & Valentina V. Tarasova, 2019. "Dynamic Keynesian Model of Economic Growth with Memory and Lag," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-17, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:145:y:2021:i:c:s0960077921001284. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.