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COVID-19, firm exposure, and firm value: A tale of two lockdowns

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  • Ding, Haoyuan
  • Fan, Haichao
  • Lin, Shu

Abstract

We study how a public health crisis affects the corporate sector at different phases of outbreak. Using an event study approach, we find significant valuation effects in a sample of Chinese listed firms following two symbolic events in the outbreak of COVID-19: (1) the lockdown of Hubei province; and (2) the containment of the disease in China and its spread to overseas. Market responded negatively (positively) to the first (second) event. Regression analysis further reveals that, following the first event, firms with Hubei (foreign) exposures earned significantly lower (higher) returns. Foreign exposures, however, had significantly negative effects on returns following the second event. The valuation effects of Hubei and foreign exposures also vary across firm ownership and industries. Our results indicate that, in a globalized world, firms' international status, internal networks and input-output linkages all play important roles in determining their exposures to the pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Ding, Haoyuan & Fan, Haichao & Lin, Shu, 2022. "COVID-19, firm exposure, and firm value: A tale of two lockdowns," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:71:y:2022:i:c:s1043951x21001395
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2021.101721
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    3. Chen, Meichen & Qin, Cong & Zhang, Xiaoyu, 2022. "Cryptocurrency price discrepancies under uncertainty: Evidence from COVID-19 and lockdown nexus," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    4. Şenay Ağca & John R. Birge & Zi'ang Wang & Jing Wu, 2023. "The impact of COVID‐19 on supply chain credit risk," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 32(12), pages 4088-4113, December.
    5. Carter, Colin A. & Steinbach, Sandro & Zhuang, Xiting, 2022. "Global Container Trade Disruptions and U.S. Agricultural Exports," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322364, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Ru, Hong & Yang, Endong & Zou, Kunru, 2020. "Combating the COVID-19 pandemic : The role of the SARS imprint," BOFIT Discussion Papers 15/2020, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    7. Wu, Jianxin & Zhan, Xiaoling & Xu, Hui & Ma, Chunbo, 2023. "The economic impacts of COVID-19 and city lockdown: Early evidence from China," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 151-165.
    8. Omrane Guedhami & April Knill & William L. Megginson & Lemma W. Senbet, 2022. "The dark side of globalization: Evidence from the impact of COVID-19 on multinational companies," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 53(8), pages 1603-1640, October.
    9. Aljughaiman, Abdullah A. & Nguyen, Tam Huy & Trinh, Vu Quang & Du, Anqi, 2023. "The Covid-19 outbreak, corporate financial distress and earnings management," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    10. Carter, Colin A. & Steinbach, Sandro & Zhuang, Xiting, 2022. "Global Shipping Container Disruptions and U.S. Agricultural Exports," Working Papers 320397, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    11. Edward C. H. Tang, 2024. "Examining the Impacts of the Pandemic on the Housing Bubble in Hong Kong," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 28(1), pages 27-46, March.
    12. Liu, Rui & Zheng, Linhao & Chen, Zheang & Cheng, Mengyao & Ren, Yuzhuo, 2024. "Digitalization through supply chains: Evidence from the customer concentration of Chinese listed companies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid-19; Firm exposures; Valuation effect; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance
    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health

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