Dust cycle and soiling issues affecting solar energy reductions in Australia using multiple datasets

Dust plays a vital role in the Earth’s climate system and can also modulate solar energy yield from photovoltaics due to soiling and it also impacts concentrated solar power outputs by up to 30%. Research examining decreased energy production on solar panels due to dust accumulation is limited. This is particularly important for dry arid regions of Australia, which are prone to dust storms. Thus, this paper examines the dust characteristics over Australia by comparing two reanalysis products, the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) and the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) with the satellite data (Himawari-8) to ascertain the capabilities of the reanalysis products in capturing dust cycles over Australia. The results are then used to explore the seasonal variability and trends in the radiative impacts, emissions, and depositions of dust. The energy reductions from seasonal averaged dust accumulations without natural removal or cleaning and later the impact of soiling with removal from precipitation bursts on selected operational solar farms are presented. Results show that MERRA-2 outperforms CAMS in capturing Dust Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) near the Lake Eyre Basin in all seasons, consistent with satellite observations. The radiative trends showed contrasting differences during the Spring and Summer, whereas seasonal dust emissions and depositions peaked at 1.4 gm−2. Similarly, seasonal dust accumulations without natural removal on panels showed significant reductions in the energy of up to 3% around the Lake Eyre Basin, but most operational solar farms in Australia depicted energy reductions of 8–9% due to accumulated dust of up to 2.5–3 gm−2, which was naturally removed from regular seasonal rainfall bursts.