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An integrated framework for operational flexibility assessment in multi-period power system planning with renewable energy production

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  • Abdin, Islam F.
  • Zio, Enrico

Abstract

This paper proposes an integrated framework for operational flexibility assessment in power system planning with a significant share of intermittent renewable energy sources (RES). The framework proposed includes: (i) the formulation of an integrated generation expansion planning (GEP) and unit commitment (UC) model accounting for key short-term technical constraints, (ii) the elaboration of accurate and systematic horizon reduction methods to alleviate the computational burden of the resulting large-sized optimization problems and (iii) the definition of suitable metrics for the operational flexibility assessment of the obtained plans. The framework is applied to a ten year planning horizon of a realistically sized case study representing the national power system of France, under several scenarios of RES penetration levels and carbon limits, spanning levels of up to 50%. The importance of incorporating the detailed short-term constraints within long-term planning models is shown. The results of the assessment show that, under high renewable energy penetration, neglecting the short-term constraints may lead to plans significantly short on flexibility, reaching shortage levels of up to 50% in frequency and several GWs in magnitude. Also, the load not served reaches levels of up to 3% and carbon emission is underestimated by up to 60%. Furthermore, the results highlight the importance of relying on suitable quantitative metrics for operational flexibility assessment in power systems planning rather than solely relying on generic performance measures, such as system costs and mixes of power plants, which are shown not to sufficiently reflect the flexibility levels of the obtained plans.

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  • Abdin, Islam F. & Zio, Enrico, 2018. "An integrated framework for operational flexibility assessment in multi-period power system planning with renewable energy production," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 898-914.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:222:y:2018:i:c:p:898-914
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.04.009
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    8. Poncelet, Kris & Delarue, Erik & D’haeseleer, William, 2020. "Unit commitment constraints in long-term planning models: Relevance, pitfalls and the role of assumptions on flexibility," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    9. Buchholz, Stefanie & Gamst, Mette & Pisinger, David, 2020. "Sensitivity analysis of time aggregation techniques applied to capacity expansion energy system models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    10. Abdin, I.F. & Fang, Y.-P. & Zio, E., 2019. "A modeling and optimization framework for power systems design with operational flexibility and resilience against extreme heat waves and drought events," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 706-719.
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    12. Li, Tianxiao & Li, Zheng & Li, Weiqi, 2020. "Scenarios analysis on the cross-region integrating of renewable power based on a long-period cost-optimization power planning model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 851-863.
    13. Zhang, Jiaqi & Tian, Guang & Chen, Xiangyu & Liu, Pei & Li, Zheng, 2023. "A chance-constrained programming approach to optimal planning of low-carbon transition of a regional energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
    14. Oree, Vishwamitra & Sayed Hassen, Sayed Z. & Fleming, Peter J., 2019. "A multi-objective framework for long-term generation expansion planning with variable renewables," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    15. Guo, Zheyu & Zheng, Yanan & Li, Gengyin, 2020. "Power system flexibility quantitative evaluation based on improved universal generating function method: A case study of Zhangjiakou," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
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    17. Qingtao Li & Jianxue Wang & Yao Zhang & Yue Fan & Guojun Bao & Xuebin Wang, 2020. "Multi-Period Generation Expansion Planning for Sustainable Power Systems to Maximize the Utilization of Renewable Energy Sources," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-18, February.
    18. Abdin, Adam F. & Caunhye, Aakil & Zio, Enrico & Cardin, Michel-Alexandre, 2022. "Optimizing generation expansion planning with operational uncertainty: A multistage adaptive robust approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    19. Yin, Linfei & Cai, Zhenjian, 2024. "Multimodal multi-objective hierarchical distributed consensus method for multimodal multi-objective economic dispatch of hierarchical distributed power systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    20. Yan Nie & Guoxing Zhang, 2020. "Indicator system to evaluate the effectiveness and efficiency of China clean power systems," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 25(7), pages 1381-1401, October.
    21. Liao, Wang & Liu, Dong & Xue, Yusheng & Wu, Yufeng & Xue, Feng & Chang, Kang, 2024. "Power generation expansion planning considering natural disaster scenarios under carbon emission trajectory constraints," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 361(C).

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