IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agiwat/v275y2023ics0378377422005662.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Tracking the influence of drought events on winter wheat using long-term gross primary production and yield in the Wei River Basin, China

Author

Listed:
  • Geng, Guangpo
  • Yang, Rui
  • Chen, Qiuji
  • Deng, Tiantian
  • Yue, Meng
  • Zhang, Bao
  • Gu, Qian

Abstract

The Wei River Basin (WRB) is the main winter wheat-producing area in Northwest China and plays a pivotal role in national food security and economic development. Drought is the main agro-meteorological disaster affecting winter wheat yield in this region, and the accurate assessment of the drought impacts on crop growth and yield is an important part of maintaining food security. However, commonly used assessment methods, such as correlation analysis and crop model simulation, have some limitations. In this study, based on standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) at multiple time scales, gross primary production (GPP) and yield data from 1990 to 2018, sensitivity analysis, Pearson correlation, and superposed epoch analysis (SEA) were used to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of drought in the WRB and its influence on winter wheat growth and quantitatively assess the impact of drought at different levels on winter wheat yield. The results were as follows: 1) Overall, the WRB was in a dry state with a drying trend during 1990–2018, and the droughts in spring, summer, and winter were the main driving forces of annual drought that seriously threatened the growth and yield of winter wheat, especially in spring (March–May), which is the key growth period of winter wheat. 2) The average annual GPP of winter wheat in the WRB showed a significant upward trend of 0.465 · 10a−1, and the central part of the WRB was the region where winter wheat GPP had higher sensitivity to drought. In general, winter wheat GPP during the growing season was most sensitive to SPEI-3, indicating that seasonal water deficits had the greatest impact on winter wheat growth. 3) The yield reduction of winter wheat caused by drought presented a spatial distribution that is heavy in the north and light in the south, and as the drought grade increased, the winter wheat yield decreased more significantly, even in irrigated areas. Therefore, relevant government departments still need to strengthen the risk management of agricultural droughts in the WRB and formulate reasonable policies to maintain food security.

Suggested Citation

  • Geng, Guangpo & Yang, Rui & Chen, Qiuji & Deng, Tiantian & Yue, Meng & Zhang, Bao & Gu, Qian, 2023. "Tracking the influence of drought events on winter wheat using long-term gross primary production and yield in the Wei River Basin, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:275:y:2023:i:c:s0378377422005662
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2022.108019
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377422005662
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agwat.2022.108019?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Corey Lesk & Pedram Rowhani & Navin Ramankutty, 2016. "Influence of extreme weather disasters on global crop production," Nature, Nature, vol. 529(7584), pages 84-87, January.
    2. Christopher R. Schwalm & William R. L. Anderegg & Anna M. Michalak & Joshua B. Fisher & Franco Biondi & George Koch & Marcy Litvak & Kiona Ogle & John D. Shaw & Adam Wolf & Deborah N. Huntzinger & Kev, 2017. "Global patterns of drought recovery," Nature, Nature, vol. 548(7666), pages 202-205, August.
    3. Zhu, Xiufang & Xu, Kun & Liu, Ying & Guo, Rui & Chen, Lingyi, 2021. "Assessing the vulnerability and risk of maize to drought in China based on the AquaCrop model," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wentong Yang & Liyuan Zhang & Chunlei Liang, 2023. "Agricultural drought disaster risk assessment in Shandong Province, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(2), pages 1515-1534, September.
    2. Lei Zhang & Wei Song & Wen Song, 2020. "Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in the Lancang-Mekong Region, South East Asia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-24, August.
    3. Guga, Suri & Ma, Yining & Riao, Dao & Zhi, Feng & Xu, Jie & Zhang, Jiquan, 2023. "Drought monitoring of sugarcane and dynamic variation characteristics under global warming: A case study of Guangxi, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    4. Tugrul Varol & Ayhan Atesoglu & Halil Baris Ozel & Mehmet Cetin, 2023. "Copula-based multivariate standardized drought index (MSDI) and length, severity, and frequency of hydrological drought in the Upper Sakarya Basin, Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 3669-3683, April.
    5. Jun Yin & Zhe Yuan & Ting Li, 2021. "The Spatial-Temporal Variation Characteristics of Natural Vegetation Drought in the Yangtze River Source Region, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-24, February.
    6. He, Liuyue & Xu, Zhenci & Wang, Sufen & Bao, Jianxia & Fan, Yunfei & Daccache, Andre, 2022. "Optimal crop planting pattern can be harmful to reach carbon neutrality: Evidence from food-energy-water-carbon nexus perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    7. Kedi Liu & Ranran Wang & Inge Schrijver & Rutger Hoekstra, 2024. "Can we project well-being? Towards integral well-being projections in climate models and beyond," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, December.
    8. El-Saied E. Metwaly & Hatim M. Al-Yasi & Esmat F. Ali & Hamada A. Farouk & Saad Farouk, 2022. "Deteriorating Harmful Effects of Drought in Cucumber by Spraying Glycinebetaine," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-16, December.
    9. Li, Pei & Huang, Qiang & Huang, Shengzhi & Leng, Guoyong & Peng, Jian & Wang, Hao & Zheng, Xudong & Li, Yifei & Fang, Wei, 2022. "Various maize yield losses and their dynamics triggered by drought thresholds based on Copula-Bayesian conditional probabilities," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    10. repec:ags:aaea22:335489 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Teerachai Amnuaylojaroen & Pavinee Chanvichit, 2024. "Historical Analysis of the Effects of Drought on Rice and Maize Yields in Southeast Asia," Resources, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-18, March.
    12. N. Zhang & H. Huang, 2018. "Assessment of world disaster severity processed by Gaussian blur based on large historical data: casualties as an evaluating indicator," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(1), pages 173-187, May.
    13. Liu, Zhipeng & Jiao, Xiyun & Zhu, Chengli & Katul, Gabriel G. & Ma, Junyong & Guo, Weihua, 2021. "Micro-climatic and crop responses to micro-sprinkler irrigation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    14. Teresa Armada Brás & Jonas Jägermeyr & Júlia Seixas, 2019. "Exposure of the EU-28 food imports to extreme weather disasters in exporting countries," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 11(6), pages 1373-1393, December.
    15. Yanqun Ren & Jinping Liu & Patrick Willems & Tie Liu & Quoc Bao Pham, 2023. "Detection and Assessment of Changing Drought Events in China in the Context of Climate Change Based on the Intensity–Area–Duration Algorithm," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-18, September.
    16. Singh, Kuntal & McClean, Colin J. & Büker, Patrick & Hartley, Sue E. & Hill, Jane K., 2017. "Mapping regional risks from climate change for rainfed rice cultivation in India," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 76-84.
    17. Marcinkowski, Paweł & Piniewski, Mikołaj, 2024. "Future changes in crop yield over Poland driven by climate change, increasing atmospheric CO2 and nitrogen stress," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    18. Yusifzada, Tural, 2022. "Response of Inflation to the Climate Stress: Evidence from Azerbaijan," MPRA Paper 116522, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Sep 2022.
    19. Dániel Fróna & János Szenderák & Mónika Harangi-Rákos, 2019. "The Challenge of Feeding the World," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-18, October.
    20. Phetheet, Jirapat & Hill, Mary C. & Barron, Robert W. & Gray, Benjamin J. & Wu, Hongyu & Amanor-Boadu, Vincent & Heger, Wade & Kisekka, Isaya & Golden, Bill & Rossi, Matthew W., 2021. "Relating agriculture, energy, and water decisions to farm incomes and climate projections using two freeware programs, FEWCalc and DSSAT," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    21. Francisco Costa & Fabien Forge & Jason Garred & João Paulo Pessoa, 2023. "The Impact of Climate Change on Risk and Return in Indian Agriculture," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 85(1), pages 1-27, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:275:y:2023:i:c:s0378377422005662. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agwat .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.